vortmax

UP Michigan or Maine is the place to be for northern winters in the US.

4-8" would be a nice refresher pack as I'm not sure the current pack will last through today and tomorrow. Still hoping for a big Miller A before the season is out.

11 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said:

A good 20 mins after it moves through. I don’t usually throw stones at those guys but good grief.  Lol. 

Seemed pretty weak here. 

Just starting to impact the ROC airport now. 

Jamestown special.

I think we'll all enjoy the weekly tracking cadence pattern we're in. Good way to finishing out the season.

4 minutes ago, rochesterdave said:

Another total POWDER bomb in N Monroe County. 
This winter is on its way to earning an A, in my mind. Another storm that stepped up just when I thought it was over. 
I feel bad for those to our east but …..damn 21/22!!!! You aim to please! 

Still more to go.

Streamers looking pretty healthy on sat:

2 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

NWS talking about issuing warnings I think there will be a brief timeframe of really heavy snow. 

So a short-lived potent lake band with arctic front pushing through with lots of wind. Should be a fun 2" or so. Hoping we can get some low-level 25:1 South Shore action after the front.

1 hour ago, tim123 said:

Atleast in my mind this storm will end up as a win in my book. Will probally end up near half a foot on i90 from southern erie County to rochester.

Agreed. Pushing 4" here already. 

33.8 here. Getting closer. 

12 minutes ago, rochesterdave said:

R/S line has once again stopped moving SE and actually backed up a bit. Right at the border. Ain’t gonna be any big snow totals in NY. So close and yet so far. Models had this locked down days ago. They are getting scary good. 

Must be that LP wave riding up the front. 

2 minutes ago, rochesterdave said:

Got a link? Love this

The Wundermap...lol

https://www.wunderground.com/wundermap?lat=43.22&lon=-77.32

Interesting:

Definitely had a wind shift to N here and temps dropped from 50 to 42 in 30 minutes (maybe just the cold marine air). Good sign, I hope.

On a side note we've only had 0.15" of rain so far.

Looks like WWA starts around 5pm for NIA. Assuming that's when temps dip below freezing? Time to break out those correlation coefficient loops to see what really happens. Still hoping for a surprise. 

3 minutes ago, rochesterdave said:

RGEM clicked NW. this is why the trend maps help. 

You have 00z and 06z there.

12z RGEM is looking more south at 27hr so far...ends up pretty similar to 6z.

Can only hope the HP/cold air pushes a bit harder than modeled. Could be a surprise in the making. Would love to see the forecast bust cold. 

31 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Euro is really close 

Would love to see a last-minute SE push of the cold air.

9 minutes ago, rochesterdave said:

NAM came in a touch colder. A touch

So you're saying there's a chance?

Really fun day. Sunny w/hazy skies then dark with S+, then S+ with sunny skies, repeat. 

17 minutes ago, tim123 said:

What you up to for snow today?

Has to be 8-9".

Beautiful winter day.