
SnoSki14
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Everything posted by SnoSki14
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Plenty of instability in place for something
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Extended summer stormlover74 future snow hole banter thread 23
SnoSki14 replied to BxEngine's topic in New York City Metro
Impossible. The Dec 2015 record will stand for decades -
The rains have been disappointing for our area. NW NJ and parts of SNJ have done well. Not so much for many central regions
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Yeah that's a ton of fluff but it does look like the 4-8 period may actually be the hottest of the next 3 weeks. EPS is looking increasingly pessimistic after the 8th with hints of an eastern trough after the 10th.
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Euro is more pessimistic but it still doesn't look as bad as June
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Looks like a low grade heat wave elsewhere. Mostly 90-92 type stuff though very borderline for now. Not seeing a big heat surge for July yet
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This is why I find the comparisons to 97-98 pretty silly. Too many people are also ignoring the influence of the west Pacific warm pool
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Water temps are above normal in that region.
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Finally got a heavier shower. Maybe we'll see more storms develop over us
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Mostly meh for me. Dodging everything last few days Did drive near that tornado warned storm. Very dark in that direction
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Prepare to be disappointed
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Storms missing to the north, south, east and west. Very annoying for sure. Need more widespread clusters
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Early congrats to South NJ again
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Yeah it missed me by a few miles too.
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Will it spread further west or stay east
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Localized soakers a given. Someone could pick up several inches very quickly, others won't see a drop Monday's potential looks quite good though for many
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Yeah I'm not sure what people are complaining about. 2009 and some early 2000s summers were far worse than this. Looks pretty summery for July too. More 85-90 and high dew type stuff versus last years 95-100+ weather.
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EPS still looks pretty wet
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Dews near 70 now. Things should light up this afternoon especially if we get any sun
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There's 2 months of summer left though more like 3 with recent September heat.
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Very little 90+ potential over next 10+ days. Monday had a chance but models have backed off. More high dew driven warmth.
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Near 70F dews is plenty tropical for heavy rains
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It's summer so you can't rely on synoptic rains anymore. It will be a game of have vs havenots. Someone's going to get a lot of rain and someone isn't. Dews look very tropical though and any sun will aid in tstorm development quickly
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2023 Atlantic Hurricane season
SnoSki14 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Pretty evident zone of shear over Caribbean and western parts of MDR Could be the season of storms rapidly forming east only to disintegrate as they get closer. It's still early though but a strong Nino would reinforce this mechanism. -
It's amazing how confident they are in their false reality...no data no facts just whatever they want it to be. Social media was truly the downfall of humanity