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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. Plenty of instability in place for something
  2. The rains have been disappointing for our area. NW NJ and parts of SNJ have done well. Not so much for many central regions
  3. Yeah that's a ton of fluff but it does look like the 4-8 period may actually be the hottest of the next 3 weeks. EPS is looking increasingly pessimistic after the 8th with hints of an eastern trough after the 10th.
  4. Euro is more pessimistic but it still doesn't look as bad as June
  5. Looks like a low grade heat wave elsewhere. Mostly 90-92 type stuff though very borderline for now. Not seeing a big heat surge for July yet
  6. This is why I find the comparisons to 97-98 pretty silly. Too many people are also ignoring the influence of the west Pacific warm pool
  7. Water temps are above normal in that region.
  8. Finally got a heavier shower. Maybe we'll see more storms develop over us
  9. Mostly meh for me. Dodging everything last few days Did drive near that tornado warned storm. Very dark in that direction
  10. Prepare to be disappointed
  11. Storms missing to the north, south, east and west. Very annoying for sure. Need more widespread clusters
  12. Early congrats to South NJ again
  13. Yeah it missed me by a few miles too.
  14. Will it spread further west or stay east
  15. Localized soakers a given. Someone could pick up several inches very quickly, others won't see a drop Monday's potential looks quite good though for many
  16. Yeah I'm not sure what people are complaining about. 2009 and some early 2000s summers were far worse than this. Looks pretty summery for July too. More 85-90 and high dew type stuff versus last years 95-100+ weather.
  17. EPS still looks pretty wet
  18. Dews near 70 now. Things should light up this afternoon especially if we get any sun
  19. There's 2 months of summer left though more like 3 with recent September heat.
  20. Very little 90+ potential over next 10+ days. Monday had a chance but models have backed off. More high dew driven warmth.
  21. Near 70F dews is plenty tropical for heavy rains
  22. It's summer so you can't rely on synoptic rains anymore. It will be a game of have vs havenots. Someone's going to get a lot of rain and someone isn't. Dews look very tropical though and any sun will aid in tstorm development quickly
  23. Pretty evident zone of shear over Caribbean and western parts of MDR Could be the season of storms rapidly forming east only to disintegrate as they get closer. It's still early though but a strong Nino would reinforce this mechanism.
  24. It's amazing how confident they are in their false reality...no data no facts just whatever they want it to be. Social media was truly the downfall of humanity
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