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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. No escape from a crappy Saturday here in north central NJ but at least Sunday might be salvaged.
  2. Don't ever trust the Nam. 06z bumped up north big time. It's going to rain.
  3. A winter like 09/10 would be a blessing after last year
  4. Averages are in the mid-upper 60s now. Cool will be this weekend, especially Saturday.
  5. There's more room for it to go further south than north imo. I do think Euro/GFS will trend further south however it won't be enough to keep us dry.
  6. Lol 12z GFS might've produced a decent miller B snow event if it was winter. But alas it'll just ruin another weekend in mid October
  7. If the Pacific firehouse becomes a permanent feature for every season then we are screwed
  8. It's going to take a lot for us to see a good snowstorm again. There is a part of me that thinks we see another sub 10" year this season.
  9. The forcing is completely different as well as the strength of the Nino. I do not forsee a 97/98 outcome
  10. Hope the Euro is wrong for next weekend. It dumps on NYC again. Other models are much drier though. Looks like a miller B type coastal storm
  11. Fall is finally arriving. Can really feel those lower dews/temps. And I'm biting on next weekend's storm. Timing stinks
  12. The Nino/Nina mix is going to through a wrench in the whole winter pattern. I expect some wild fluctuations with models.
  13. GFS really goes full Nino October pattern.
  14. Probably later next week honestly
  15. Pattern looks very active starting this weekend
  16. Perhaps further SW especially if the short term track keep shifting west. It could really enhance the precip though for Saturday aka more flooding rains possible with gusty winds to boot.
  17. Good chance his energy gets sucked into the main trough now. Looks entertaining to say the least
  18. No it's a cool down. You're going from 80s to 50s for highs and lows in the 30s for an extended period.
  19. Things will turn stormy after the warm spell so enjoy it while it lasts. Teleconnections suggest a very active pattern could develop imo.
  20. Euro hasn't had the best track record lately.
  21. Heat will peak Tue/Wed but 80s likely all four days until clouds ruin it by Friday. Return to seasonably cool by Saturday and beyond.
  22. We're already getting a taste of that this month. PNA ridge to build but gets knocked down quickly so could be a lot of back and forth this season.
  23. October could be stormy after the first week with first taste Fri/Sat. Also a non-zero chance we get some tropical influence from Philippe if the track shifts west. But +PNA/-NAO and AO trending negative are stormy indicators.
  24. What did the CanSips show last year at this time?
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