I'm really not sure what to think. I heard this had shades of Jan 25, 2000 on it.
I'm gonna assume the gfs is lost but you never know. Honestly given the warm Atlantic waters and long term trends to tuck the lows in I mean who knows what's possible.
You know I don't care if it snows in NJ or not. If I wanted snow every winter I would've moved to Vermont or Buffalo.
There's more to interesting weather than snow.
If that Pacific ridge plays out then I have no issues with losing the Atlantic blocking.
I'll take a good pacific over Atlantic any day. However it's gonna be a struggle sustaining that with the -PDO.
So I think we'll be good through Jan 20 before things turn mild again.
Still a long shot that Sunday night works out.
Basically back and forth pattern. Warm 1-2 days with rain, cold shot for a day or two then more warmth/rain and rinse/repeat.
Looks like crap if you're looking for snow.
The scary thing is how mundane this feels. Everyone is just accustomed to the new normal which I guess is good if we're able to adapt so quickly.
However these new normals will also be responsible for devastating weather & ecological events in the future.
Also if we ever had another top 5-10 cold December or January people would go nuts.
Everyone had a meltdown when I mentioned CC in the New England forum.
I don't understand why it's so triggering to people and how is a scientific fact political. It's like saying 2+2=4 is controversial.
But you can't ignore it. We are crushing past records.
NJ has seen plenty of interesting weather over the years arguably moreso than many places up north.
From hurricanes to major flooding to tornadoes, wind events, snowstorms so that statement makes zero sense.