Lightning
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Everything posted by Lightning
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Yeah. When we were seeing the north trend to early I was concerned also about the ice. I have noticed the models have improved enough that those major shifts are a bit more rare.
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I agree the south trend does need to stop on the GFS!! My thought is we may not see much of a north trend until the southern stream VORT gets better sampling tomorrow. The stronger the better but weaker and well you know.
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I have been watching that too.
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Understood as I know you are in it for the Historic. Jonger is all about the sledding. Josh and I just want it to snow.
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4" and will be bummed too but I rather get that and keep it white out there since we are going to warm up tomorrow. Honestly my hopes are in the 6-8" range or more of course. I definitely want the 20"+ but trying to keep realistic.
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Wonder if the south trend has to do with the initial Vort over the NW being well sampled last night into today while the southern Vort will not be as well sampled until tomorrow afternoon. Still can go either way but makes me wonder if the GFS changes are related.
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It is leaving a lot of VORT in the 4 corners.
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That is the problem. Watching model run after model run have 16-24" IMBY then get 12" is not as gratifying as model runs showing 4-8" then getting 12". Same results but for some reason scenario #2 is so much better
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My area has also had many 6"+ storms. There is something different about Howell area. While I am in the same county the Howell area is impacted by storms differently (i.e. Jonger).
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I totally get it. Many storms in the past few years have not had that NW trend and been more suppressed in this area. Your reservation is not without cause.
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Keep in mind that 2 days before the Boston storm. GFS was fish food only (out to sea). So I am not totally surprised by its output.
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DTX radar is down for maintenance. That would be classic to get an EPIC storm when your doing maintenance
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Yes that is a very good summary. I like scenario 3 of course
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Chicago team can name it whatever they want. I only care about the snow results
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Hi Hawkeye. Long time. I drove through CR this past early summer (on our way to a wedding in southern MN). It was interesting to clearly see the Derecho damage. Pretty incredible. I have watch many of the Youtube video's. Looked like a hurricane went through!!
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One thing to consider is the NAM and GFS (the Canadian I think to but I was not following it for that storm) were mostly to far east. GFS to the bitter end.
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I was in Two Harbors briefly this past summer. I visited Ely (niece was working there) and Tettegouche State Park. Beautiful area
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Funny thing is a few weeks ago I saw an article in the news about how warm the lakes still were and that the ice will be below normal. I love it when mother nature says 'you want to bet?'
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I was at Mt. Holly today skiing (been 10+ times so far). Plan to go many more. Going to Boyne eventually too. Plus Bittersweet. Ski conditions have been awesome this winter.
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I love reading WDM. He has caused GRR to be the best NWS in MI.
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You should also read my post about me being there!!
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When the storm hit I was 7. Josh and I are specifically talking about the snow totals. I totally understand the storm was epic but for Detroit area snow totals were anything but epic. We have had much biggest snow totals.
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I actually don't mind a good ice storm though I think they are best later March or early April instead of mid-winter.
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I was thinking about Josh if we somehow got >24" from this system this coming week. Many people in Detroit would still think 1978 had more there 1978 storm was an epic storm for surrounding areas but for Detroiters it is a legend in their own mind
