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Lightning

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Everything posted by Lightning

  1. ZR = extremely pretty but damage and power outages likely. PL = not pretty at all but no damage or power outages. From a pure weather event enjoyment stand point I would take the ZR ice storm every time. The damage and power outage just make an ice storm an event one I both love and hate. In the end my pick ... snow!!
  2. Yeah. I have seen enough ZR/PL for one season. I am hoping this next storm is snow too.
  3. Similar here. More ice than sleet with this one. More winds too during the ice.
  4. Also DTE doe not have everyone north of M59. Consumer Energy also has some of the territory. Like my neighbors literally across the street are full CE while I am DTE electric but I have CE natural gas. So I am sure they are talking their service area more than anything else
  5. With some of those placements there is a possibility I could end up with 3 true ice and sleet storms all within 9 days ...
  6. I can agree for South of M59 corridor but not for M59 and northward. Christmas 2013, April 2003 just to name a few (there were a couple others in the 70s/80s).
  7. Crazy day as it is still ZR mixed with sleet IMBY. I now have more or nearly the same amount of ice than I did last week but of course last week was mainly a sleet fest for me. I am praying we keep power with these howling winds and icy trees.
  8. Yeah I am not yet sold this will be that far north. My observation is the models trends to a north supper juiced solution that then slow sink south and not as juiced. Heck right now I have another sleet and ice storm occurring which 3 days ago the models just had rain & 40s. Plus the NAO is negative right now which tends to support some suppression.
  9. Icy again here. Little bit nervous with the strong winds. Temps currently at 31F so it should get above 32F soon.
  10. There are certain areas that get the most in the UP. Negaunee & where Bo lives is one of those hot spots for sure.
  11. Oh the day (we are no where near) when we get away for all the agendas, politics and money driven science. Until then most of this stuff being published is just
  12. Ended up with the biggest sleet storm I have ever experienced with a good inch and a half of sleet. Being mix with freezing rain it is a solid mass on the ground. Trees have some good ice them but definitely not as bad as it could have been. Looks like we should warm up above freezing before the stronger winds kick in but still more power outages is a concern.
  13. Similar here too. Only the past couple hours here has it been more rain than sleet.
  14. Approaching 32F here. Looks like the HiRez models were correct getting MBY up to 32F.
  15. I am willing to bet for some areas that would be a yes. MBY is luck so far as I have mostly been sleet (as you know sleet just bounces off the trees) with some ZR. Currently I have had >1/2" of sleet with ZR icing at <0.1" Temp IMBY is ~30F.
  16. Temps have come up a couple (still below 32) as the precip rates dropped the past 90 minutes. Radar is filling in nicely now. Next couple hours are going to tell tale for who gets what in the various locations throughout southern MI.
  17. Keep some form of ridge in the SE and have it fight that strong cold from the north => we could have some fun
  18. Outside of Morch it has been a while since March has been anything exciting around here. April's have been more fun!!!
  19. Sleet fest here. Ground is getting covered as it is turning a sleety white.
  20. What was weird about 00-01 was there were some local events in parts of Oak & Macomb counties that made it not so bad (as FNT and DTW) the rest of winter along the M59 corridor (still a bit frustrating after such an incredible start).
  21. Sadly this has been the trend with the models (I.e. show historic storms then go down to reality). Your getting an awesome storm but the historic model runs make you feel robbed.
  22. I love the last sentence the best: Unfortunately these three points remain fairly nebulous and really won`t be known until the event actually begins.
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