Understood. Most of them show that I would have 2" on the ground already but I have about 1". I understand that if ratio game works out I will bust low. I'll take that risk. My experience is the ratio game works a lot better on storms that my temps start in the teens to mid-20s. Warmer rain to snow scenarios have tend to have more issues obtaining great ratios (they can but many don't). My weather station temp right now is 31.9F.