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tarheelwx

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Everything posted by tarheelwx

  1. Just stepped out on my deck and heard a big tree fall out back a ways. Wind has shifted out of the north. Just watched the digital thermometer drop 1.9 at once. TW
  2. 52.7 here in Colfax for the last 4 hours or so. Hrrr showing about an inch by 1 am. I'm a doubter but seeing how rare snow is on Christmas, I'm compelled to stay up for it. I have to leave at 6:15 in the morning to take my daughter (nicu nurse) to Cone for work. Hopefully we see something. TW
  3. Nailed it there Northhills. I remember several cold Novembers where the cold flipped to warm around early to mid December and JB would say “what happens in November, the winter will remember”. The problem is that it wouldn’t usually flip back until March or so and we’d have a cold miserable spring. So, I’m all on board with the current pattern holding another 4-6 weeks with a flip in time for the holidays. TW
  4. Well, if the euro is right, any talk of the summer drought being underway wound be a distant memory. TW
  5. Leaving for Boone area now with my wife. Can anyone recommend a nice hotel or B&B with good NW flow snow and a hot tub. Something within 45 minutes of Boone would be preferable. thanks TW
  6. North GA and SC Upstate in the sweet spot! TW
  7. There have been a few small flakes in Colfax. TW
  8. This ends at 12z Friday. Much of the storm on the NAM occurred after this time. Is there anything on the 18z Euro after 12z Friday? TW
  9. March 28, 1984. A series of tornadoes from Newberry to Ahoskie left 42 dead in NC. Multiple F3 and F4's. TW
  10. That would put me above average for winter if it happened. TW
  11. I'm not drinking the cool aid on this one. I'd anticipate a cold rain based on few other models showing it. As for the NAM, the hp looks to be sliding out to me. One other thing, models tend to over sensationalize big ZR events from the standpoint that such heavy rates are very difficult to freeze on contact. Just my 2 cents. TW
  12. I’m from the SE forum, but supposed to fly into Portland Monday evening at 10:30. What’s the odds on flight arrival issues into PMW Monday evening tW
  13. Check out the 12z clown map. Something to keep in mind with later threats. TW
  14. 00z NAM and 00z RGEM both bring a lot of precip inland on Saturday into NC, while a very strong 1039'ish HP drops into the lakes and NE. It's at least interesting. TW
  15. Look for a mild December. Just hope it breaks back cold after that. TW
  16. Usually, snow in November leads to a warmer winter...... if history is an indicator. TW
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