Hurricane Agnes

The 12z Ukie does what the EC did but has it go OTS even further south!

That's a coastal hugger that would throw "warm" ocean water air back over the area. That 12z GFS does send it up to NE this time, and has it bomb out on the way up there.

Just measured 1.5" and the rates appear to be maybe a notch or two above just plain flurries at the moment. I see a dry slot to the west although perhaps it will back-build. Currently SN- and 26 with dp 23.

That's when the "winter drought" finally broke. I remember the winter of late 1974 right after my dad died and my uncle wanted to take me and my sisters to go to Burlholme Park in NE Philly to toboggan - https://myphillypark.org/explore/parks/burholme-park-3/ It was literally in the 50s temp-wise at the time and not a drop of snow anywhere to be seen. He took us there anyway just to see what it looked like... all snowless and bare.

Just came back in and measured 1" on the board. Have SN- of fine stuff with some bigger flakes mixing in every once in awhile. Some of the radar "heavier" returns over me aren't really producing at this point. Temp is 25 and dp has ticked up to 23. That 1977 was just a cold cold winter. That's why '78 was welcomed because we finally had some snow to go with the cold! There was some snow in '79 too although I remember my senior class trip up to the Poconos resulted in 40F and rain that weekend (at the old Tamiment ski resort), so the slopes were literally a sheet of ice with water on top. We ended up inside the Lodge most of time watching TV, playing cards, board games, and pool.

They sure as hell wouldn't! After that, many winters made up for it though. I do remember 1977 being nothing but frozen, glacial tundra. Just sheets of ice leftover from the couple inch snows, that lasted forever. Bunch of single digit temps that January as well as a couple below 0Fs. Brutal when standing out on a corner waiting for a SEPTA bus and then when one does show up, it is packed to the door and drives by... and the next one takes forever to come so you start walking.

Just measured 1/2" with SN- to SN variable rate, although still mostly fine flakes. Temp is 24 and dp has been holding at 22, plus now have a little fog.

I was in high school and whatever went on in the '70s before '78 was barely enough to write home about - at least here in Philly. In '78, I remember me and my sisters finally being able to make an actual snowman and did so out on the front of our house. It was a good sized one too. We even had some Japanese tourists drive by and then stop to take pics! My mom also bought a new car that winter and when I had come back from a weekend class ski trip around the time of that storm, I returned to the car smashed up on the side due to some cop doing a chase on the icy streets, and T-boning my moms parked car. My HS friend's dad had picked my friend and me up from the school after we returned from the trip to drop me off, and he had to calm me down when I saw the car.

The 6z EC doesn't go out as far as the GFS and has the same GOM Miller A-type thing, but then suppresses the storm, and takes right OTS.

Have 1/4" here in NW Philly with SN- of very fine flakes, a temp of 24, and dp now up to 21. I expect if the dp continues to rise, the flakes will be enlarged, and it will look "more dramatic". ETA - the untreated parts of the streets have started caving.

This is supposed to go all day... I think you guys are under the WSW.

And the pixie dust snow has commenced - just after 7 am, with a light dusting on cars and untreated surfaces. Dews had been slowly moistening the past half hour and it's now 25, with dp 19. Let the games begin!

LOL As a note, the Philly public schools and Archdiocesan elementary/middle schools are closed today (Archdiocesan high schools are on virtual instruction). The city also closed its offices today as well, interestingly enough. The early '70s was the "snow drought" period with little or nothing really happening until 1978! Didn't stop us from turning on KYW for the numbers though.

Welcome and look forward to any obs that you have with this current storm!

Overcast here in NW Philly with virga. Temp is 27 with dry dp of 16.

Made it up to 31 yesterday with a low of 22. Currently 27, overcast with virga (as the precip shield begins to overspread the city) and with a dp of 16. 6Z GFS has a Miller A-like setup that apparently "misses" throwing any measurable back over the area.

ICON falling in that same range. I would think the S. Jersey and DE folks will cash in if something warm doesn't advect back in from the ocean.

If that jump happens, then there may be some kind of dry slot that helps to reduce totals. The HRRR is probably providing the upper end of the range.

3k NAM has the Miller B "jump" but then sends the low OTS.

This is the frame I wanted (48). Definitely un-NAM'd itself.

Quick 3k NAM frame (although it looks like it might be still snowing at that point - still waiting for some more frames).

12z NAM is running so will see how that goes. So far it looks like it is south unless it explodes over the next set of frames.

Never made it above freezing yesterday with a high of 30 and low of 25. But the wind and perhaps some insolation were enough to make my 1/2" disappear almost everywhere including grassy surfaces (at least on the S/SW-facing part of the house. The N/NE side still has leftovers). Currently 23 (my low so far this morning) and partly sunny with dp 12. Since the last GFS run was mentioned regarding next weekend, the below caught my attention! (ETA - added the 0z EC for comparison)

Looks like it is about done here and I measured 0.5". Temp is currently 31 with dp 30. The paved surfaces didn't really cave much, including non-treated cement like my back patio.

Here I am (I'm still here ). Started getting flakes about an hour ago and it has been sticking on the colder surfaces. So far have a coating of about 1/4" from a fine-flaked SN and temp of 32, with dp 30. Had made it up to 38 for a high after bottoming out at 29.