Hurricane Agnes

LOL @ Mt. Holly effusive AFD - Latest from Mt. Holly on forecast - It is a pretty presentation. Still have virga and temp is now down to 32 with dp 25.

I think everyone was waiting for your check-in.

Virga here so far with temp 33 and dp 26.

Currently 33 with dp down to 27 so conditions are ripe for something (although the ground is warm). Looks like Salem County and Newark, DE area under some heavier returns.

If the eyes blend in with any flakage, then I'll SOL with finding a target.

Getting a temp/dp drop and now down to 46 with dp 41. Here is what WPC posted about an hour ago -

I was looking at -30F temps in the upper midwest this morning so that cold blob means some serious business. How far it oozes down with the jet and how dry it is, will make a difference where the gradient sets up. I wouldn't be surprised if there is some convection with it too in the southern parts of the CWA.

Sorry had to weenie you. Haven't seen you in awhile. Nothing like the threat of snow to lay to rest the threats to merge our poor little forum. Currently 55 here with dp 51. ETA - I know people here are afraid to make an event thread lest they jinx it but...

Gonna have to watch for dp depressions and how far south the subsidence from the north shears it away down here in Philly metro. It's still juicy out there at the moment. However we're not progged for anything until tomorrow morning's commute (I think peak) so unless the front speeds up, it'll be a watch and wait for the next 12 hours.

Had a high of 60 so far today with changeable skies this afternoon (including occasional breaks of sun) after a low of 52. It's currently 59 with dp 54 and overcast. There are some spotty returns on the radar well ahead of the cold front.

Mt. Holly just lofted the Warnings and Advisories -

Here is the last tweet -

Tradition for me growing up was to turn on the Mummers on New Year's Day and start dismantling Christmas - all stuff down and packed away on New Year's Day (which is what I did here yesterday although the rain postponed the parade until today... but the lights and wreaths were taken in very early before the rains started up). I kept some "seasonal" artificial plants around the house though. When I checked in here and saw there were 33 replies, I figured something was up and some legit threat had apparently been spotted. I could actually hear the Ji fireworks going off up here. Regardless, I ended up with 1.02" of rain for yesterday's total and have an additional 0.11" in the bucket this morning (total 1.13 for the 2-day event so far). Looks like the precip. is pretty much done for now though. Currently misty and 52 with dp 52.

Have gotten heavy rain out of the band coming through (upwards of 1"/hr). This is probably the most in one event in awhile. Sure drought-buster. Currently moderate rain and 55 with dp 54 and 0.79" in the bucket.

Okay. Thank you for clarifying the range because I know last year with La Nina, it was whacked out and I expect with the stronger Nina this year, it might still be whack until deeper in the season .

Didn't you decide to toss that, I think last year (or maybe it was not valid between October and December but was post-December or...?) Am currently at my high so far for today of 55 (with low of 50) and the rain is coming down at a light to moderate rate with 0.49" in the bucket so far with on and off rain since earlier this morning (the heaviest being in the past hour or so).

Happy New Year all - currently 50 and a dp 50 with some fog/mist as the stratus has started to descend.

Fog finally lifted although there is still some stratus around but the moisture being wrung out this morning was enough (between 6 - 7 am) to tip the bucket in the gauge. Currently overcast and 49 with dp 48.

What might start to impact the cycles is all the development that has gone on in Chester County over the past 30 years as farmers have sold land to developers and people have shifted to "exburbia" again (and by "again", it had been a "thing" but then recently started reversing before the pandemic as the Millennials started moving into lofts and whatnot in the urban areas). But the pandemic (and work from home options) apparently triggered a return to the less dense but soon-to-be-more-dense parts of the state including Chesco). It took awhile but once they got rid of the (traditional) office tower height restrictions in downtown Philly in the 1980s and many dozens of buildings were constructed that far surpassed the height of the William Penn statue atop City Hall tower, we still haven't had a below 0 temp registered at KPHL since 1994. This doesn't mean some strong PV lobe will never ooze down far enough to break that record run, but it's now been 27 years. I made it up to 53 as a high (after a 43 low) and even had some sun this afternoon. But the air has still been relatively juicy with current temp 48 and dp 47.

I noticed my snowdrops have sent up a couple inches of leaves (they aren't normally making an attempt until maybe during a February thaw or the end of February). I had been looking at NOAA's NCEI 30-year "norms" update data introduced this past May here - https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/news/noaa-delivers-new-us-climate-normals where you can start digging into the data from here - https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/land-based-station/us-climate-normals and there is a "quick access" link here - https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/us-climate-normals/ There are a bunch of stations in the dataset but for those that (I am guessing) have data back at least 30 years, for Chesco for example, Honey Brook's 30-year is this - https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/us-climate-normals/#dataset=normals-annualseasonal&timeframe=30&location=PA&station=USC00364047 Just something to throw out there (I know there are many data sources around). Mt. Holly joined in on the (almost) dismissal of that but haven't made it a "zero chance" yet in this morning's AFD. So far I have 0.24" in the bucket this morning and it's currently overcast with some stratus and mist and 43 with dp the same.

Still nada here, not even a flake. Looks like it has mostly dissolved. Currently overcast and 38 with dp 28.

My sis in Upper Darby just texted that it was snowing where she is. Am not seeing anything here in NW Philly yet but looks like something might be incoming soon. Currently overcast and 37 with dp 27.

Some stuff incoming although the temps here IMBY are marginal at the surface (currently 35 with dp 26). It was partly cloudy earlier but it is clouding up some now. As a note, I made it up to 52 yesterday after a low of 36.

'Nuff said! The above is an excellent news summary (and obviously PR piece from PGW) about that winter. The year of the long johns too and where wool sweaters/socks and puffy down coats and vests became a thing. I remember after that and the next couple winters, we ended up getting a kerosene heater (and had found a gas station not too far away that sold kerosene).