Hurricane Agnes

Sun finally popped out and the fog lifted once the temps finally went above freezing. Bottomed out at 23 this morning and have briefly touched 40 but am currently partly sunny and 39 with dp 35.

Both the 6z Euro and GFS even had temps in those ranges at that time frame.

Mt. Holly had lofted a Dense fog advisory for the Philly metro area and also had a mention of freezing fog earlier (although where I am in Philly with below 32 temps currently at 30, it's freezing on the cars and colder surfaces. The streets and walks are treated but there was obviously some snow melt yesterday with the temps.

There are a couple more on the GFS long range including a pre-Valentine's scoot-by and on Valentine's Day frontal passage/apps runner.

6z Euro warms the column and keeps it rain into Philly metro.

Well Punxsutawney Phil gave a nod to this subforum. 6 more weeks of winter.

An obs and although progged, I guess I didn't expect it - have some stratus and (freezing) fog settling in with vis < 1/4 mile or so). And yes, it's currently below freezing here with temp 27 (27.3) and dp the same (26.8).

Interesting (and I think Mike suggested this in the AFD) that both the 6z NAM and 0z Euro are generally keeping tomorrow's event as generally rain along the the southern I-95 corridor, shunting the ice/snow across north of that area, where the 6z GFS shows more mix/ice as far south as Philly during the same time frame ("colder").

As an obs, after a low of 20 this morning, I did make it up to 37 and am currently back down to 30 with dp 25.

Seems the 18z is doubling up the northern high compared to the 12z.

You are a blast from the past. Hope you are well... I think it is supposed to be colder up that way although more of a possibility of ice and snow than further south. The 18z GFS looks like a stronger and longer-lasting icing system vs the NAM.

It kinda stalls the low out for a few beats and then has it do a quarterback sneak over the CWA goal line. The northern high doesn't drop down as much.

6z Euro is similar to its 0z except the northern high is shifted a bit.

Picking a time frame for the 6z GFS & NAM and 0z EC, the NAM and EC are warmer and GFS continues with the ice threat. Euro has a double-low solution -

18z GFS vs 18z Euro (from the Euro's last panel) -

The NAM and GFS 18zs (GFS is still running too). NAM has a little more antecedent rain and appears a tick faster compared to the 12z. Edit to add in the Canadian... running slower than the American models.

And the state ran out of consumer (and road) salt! I had to go on a work trip to Baltimore in January '94 during one of what became ~17 ice storms that season, and planned to take Amtrak but drive to the station and park in their garage, so eased on down to 30th St. Station and thankfully decided against getting on I-76 otherwise I would have been trapped there for 8 hours, because the ramps iced up and cars/trucks were stuck and blocked it so no on could get on or off. When I got down to Baltimore, they only had rain and plenty of salt, so I brought back 2 bags of halite in my luggage. 1994 (January 19) was also the last time KPHL recorded a below 0 temp (-5)

Looks like a pear with a big bite out of it!

The beginning of it is showing up on the last panel of the 12z NAM.

Looks like an overrunning ZR/sleet fest with some snow on top.

Nye County, NV.

From the same site, there are also areas to your south and west in similar circumstances in terms of "dryness" but none of the areas here in the east are at the "drought" level yet like some spots in VA or in the MW (especially northern WI and MN). I won't even talk about the southwest and west. As an obs, am now up to 27 with dp finally in the double digits at 12.

Dropped down to 14 this morning as a low and am currently at 22 with dp bopping between 8/9. There was a colorful yellow/orange/reddish sunrise this morning and a deck of cirrus has since been moving in.

I'm hoping others here realize that yours is reflecting a typical "urban" setup for those who even have a patio, terrace, or small back or front yard to take a reading from. Many of the older city row homes (e.g., the huge housing stock of such built in the '20s - '30s through the '50s) have a shared driveway out back with a cement entrance strip to a garage and possibly a strip of grass along the side of that. I.e., something along the lines of this - Those without a garage usually have some sort of small patio out back. Other housing stock of "twins" (semi-deattached) homes may have a larger back/front yard but not by much. Many of the older rim towns have similar housing setups that were built before the advent of the sprawling rancher/split-level/Cape Cod-style housing developments and these older, more densely-built homes may be adjacent to those developments. Unfortunately, much of the criteria strives for "perfect conditions" and that can miss "the reality" of urban/older town dwellers by being biased towards suburban developments and rural areas (whether it is for temperature readings or snow measurements).

Philly's #42!