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Hurricane Agnes

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Everything posted by Hurricane Agnes

  1. Hurricane Agnes
    One of those potential "long duration" storms. One thing that might be interesting to see is what kind of interactions that Jerry might have with this storm, which seems to be something suggested by earlier model runs.
  2. Hurricane Agnes
    8 pm update (system is spinning over P.R. with flooding rain). Looks as if the cone is possibly being influenced by a possible tug from Jerry -
  3. Hurricane Agnes
    8 pm update (little change although the storm motion has slowed to 5 mph) -
  4. Hurricane Agnes
    Some more analysis of Karen by Levi -
  5. Hurricane Agnes
    5 pm update (Lorenzo holding steady but expected to strengthen to a hurricane soon - perhaps by tomorrow) -
  6. Hurricane Agnes
    5 pm update (Jerry hanging by a thread but still hanging in there)!
  7. Hurricane Agnes
    5 pm update (hanging in there) -
  8. Hurricane Agnes
    Everyone watching Karen smacking P.R. NOAA Sats tweet about it -
  9. Hurricane Agnes
    And Levi tweeted a loop as well -
  10. Hurricane Agnes
    Here's a loop -
  11. Hurricane Agnes
    The latest snapshot of the doppler. It looks like it has been consolidating and hitting P.R. at the moment!
  12. Hurricane Agnes
    Levi Cowan from Tropical Tidbits will be on the Weather Geeks show tomorrow -
  13. Hurricane Agnes
    Last set available of recon into Karen - there were 5 drops into the eye(s) -
  14. Hurricane Agnes
    Hurricane Hunters' tweet of pics in Jerry - a sea of clouds!
  15. Hurricane Agnes
    I think NOAA9 is supposed to go in there later today.
  16. Hurricane Agnes
    2 pm update (Karen is sucking the energy from Jerry and has strengthened a bit)!
  17. Hurricane Agnes
    2 pm update and well sure enough, he sloughed all that stuff off he was dragging around and is now down to a slim 50 mph! But then a few folks have said, a "weaker" Jerry may end up dragging Karen up into the same vicinity so that will be something to watch for!
  18. Hurricane Agnes
    Well at least in this brief moment, Jerry looks more "hurricane-ey" than he has in who knows how long... without all the crap swinging around on top! Even if it is just a TS. But the shear is just blasting away at the top of it.
  19. Hurricane Agnes
    Was digging around trying to find a nice doppler animation of what I am seeing and I think this shows it - there is a little thing spinning up in the NE corner of the storm, near the end of the animation. You can see it live on doppler right now (I saw it running my GR2Level 3 but can't make an animation out of that) -
  20. Hurricane Agnes
    Yup and wow. Looks like the lowest pressures are to the SW -
  21. Hurricane Agnes
    NASA Hurricane group noting the shear taking a toll on Jerry (you can see the "naked swirl" sticking out to the SW ) -
  22. Hurricane Agnes
    I think that happened to Jerry where the centers at various levels were not stacked initially. I believe AF300 is doing the low level recon and NOAA 9 is supposed to do the upper levels - https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAREPRPD.shtml
  23. Hurricane Agnes
    It seems some of the models (like the GFS ensembles) were showing Jerry rolling around to the SE and then S then to the SW (although they don't go as far as looping it from the latest time frames).
  24. Hurricane Agnes
    Yes, that's where it appears to be ("pointing to" St. Croix which is to its NE and where the recons are flying from). I think they are trying to get a handle on the boundary of it, although I expect it may wobble around (a near-banned word... ) due to all the convection firing to its SW. But we'll see how it fares if it can get into a less hostile environment. I expect that if it were where Jerry is right now, it would probably be shredded apart completely.
  25. Hurricane Agnes
    They were having issues with fixing a center yesterday. They just had another drop around/in the eye -
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