TheClimateChanger

BIG changes underway. That snow and ice doesn't stand a chance.

Certainly a big change. International Falls, commonly known as the Icebox of the Nation, soared to an astounding 50F yesterday, obliterating a 112-year-old daily record by 7F. That was the latest 50F reading on record there. For those hoping the snowpack might blunt the coming warmup, that's not a positive development.

Wow, that's a lot of rain on top of the ongoing flooding in the Pacific Northwest.

Looks like the "high water mark" for the cold, so to speak. With upcoming pattern change, final December numbers should be rather ho-hum.

A little dated (from the spring), but I chanced upon this today and I think it's quite relevant. This lines up with what I've been seeing - the common adage "the wet get wetter" just doesn't seem to be accurately reflecting the conditions on the ground. We've now had several years in a row east of the Rockies (the last couple extending all the way to the coast) with fairly extensive drought. While annual precipitation numbers might not be too far from historical means, enhanced evapotranspiration seems to be drawing down surface and ground waters.

Brutal timing for that west coast trough --> central US ridge.

I don’t even know where this myth came from that I predicted no more 4” daily snows. If you go back to the *unedited* post in question, I said “you have to expect that breaks soon” before jokingly posing the question whether it would never happen again. Which is a reasonably way to cope with nearly 4 years of no bona fide storms.

Finished up with about 5 1/4” of snow.

Not sure, will probably get there. We've been getting some heavier rates as the colder air works in. Probably up to ~3" now.

Nothing too crazy yet. Maybe 2” out there.

Rare winter storm warning for our area:

JB coming out with the 1985 analog. What a joke... IIRC, it was something like -20F with a -50F windchill at Cleveland. There is zero chance of that happening. Must be trying to bail out a buddy who's long $NG.

Looks good. Nice spread the wealth event. Despite the different products (WWA/WSW), shouldn't be a huge gradient north to south.

Wow, central PA getting the screw job there.

Well, a second interpretation of the fact that most recent years are below trend is that the trendline isn't capturing all of the variation and there may have been a recent acceleration.

I'm really interested in what evidence the people "weenieing" this statement of fact have in rebuttal. Because over my lifetime, this has clearly been the case. Here is the last 35 years of data from a diverse assortment of locations. Snowfall has plummeted, especially in lake effect and upslope areas, where a simple linear trend implies snowfall has been cut in half since 1990 (see, e.g., Cleveland and Elkins, W. Va.). I'm sure they'll complain about the start date - but the 1990s were considered mild at the time, with people pining for the snowier/colder 60s and 70s and comparing it to the so-called "cyclical warming" of the 1930s and 40s. This period also covers the bulk of my lifetime and with consistent procedures for snow measurements. Cleveland, Ohio Charleston, W. Va. Elkins, W. Va. Syracuse, NY Boston, MA Rochester, NY