TheClimateChanger

Here's where we could be sitting on Friday, with current forecast values. Hottest spring on record to date: Columbus, OH; Cincinnati, OH; all of Kentucky; Evansville, IN; and Springfield, MO. Top 2-5: Kansas City, MO; Des Moines, IA; Waterloo, IA; Moline, IL; Rockford, IL; Peoria, IL; Springfield, IL; Columbia, MO; Indianapolis, IN; South Bend, IN; Fort Wayne, IN; Toledo, OH; Dayton, OH; Mansfield, OH; Cleveland, OH; Akron/Canton, OH; Youngstown, OH. Top 6-10: Detroit, MI; Flint, MI; Lansing, MI; Grand Rapids, MI; Chicago, IL; Milwaukee, IL; Sioux City, IA; Dubuque, IA; La Crosse, WI; Minneapolis, MN; Rochester, MN. Really feel for those in the far north who apparently have missed out. Dare I say it - best climo ever?

Best spring in the history of America.

Hmm, maybe because the old measurements are biased low? Snowfall measurement: a flaky history | NCAR & UCAR News

Unreal. This may go into the annals as the most pleasant spring in the history of the City of Pittsburgh. Already up to 29 days at or above 60F (T-most), and 13 days at or above 70F (T-3rd most). Tomorrow will be close to 60F, but the ensuing 6 days are 70s and 80s. Count on those two should be 35/36 & 19, respectively, by next Friday, with even warmer temperatures possible next weekend.

I'm sure the observer in Toronto was lying about how much snow used to fall as well.

Are we sure these correlations apply in this new regime? If we look at April 1997, it was 5th coldest on record, but this year seems destined for back to back record warm months. The NBM numbers would bring us up to about +5.5F (1991-2020 climo) by the 18th/19th timeframe, whereas the current record is +3.4 in 2006.

Looks like good, sound records to me. The snowfall and liquid equivalents make sense.

What motive would they have to lie about how much snow fell? Newark is not the same climate as Detroit. It could have been colder and drier in Detroit than present.

This is unbelievable:

Ever since they swapped in the new temperature sensors, PIT's lows are usually no more than about 1F warmer than mine and I'm in the woods. It used to be 2-3, maybe 4F, warmer, but not recently.

Also, the afternoon/early evening observation time common at the cooperative sites in the earlier decades often tacks on an additional day at or above a threshold temperature to warm spells, since the set temperature for the following day would be only a little bit colder than the daily high.

In any event, this is going to be the hottest March on record at Death Valley National Park by a HUGE margin (pop: zero, wilderness station).

Not a very good example. FOK was more of a microclimate, if it's even a legit measurement. It was lower than any other location, regardless of rural/urban location, for hundreds of miles. Nothing lower until deep into New England. It was like 5F colder than even the coldest personal weather stations on Long Island.

No, I just meant they are forecasting it as 11th warmest since 1950. I wouldn’t call that “another warm” summer. That’s colder than 5 of the last 6 summers, so I think most here would consider that to be a pretty cool summer.

Interesting. He says another warm summer but then explicitly predicts the 2nd coldest summer since 2019, and only slightly warmer than 2023. Especially if the heat is out west as he suggests, I think most people will consider that to be one of the coldest summers in recent memory.