magpiemaniac
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Everything posted by magpiemaniac
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Hey, don’t skip what’s predicted to be an active severe season.
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3:15 AM for RAH and 4:30 AM for RNK, too.
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Honestly, I think the hi-res Euro snow depth map is the most likely scenario. (At best.)
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Have you read the localized forecasts? They can throw one up and say they covered their butts, but some people are going to expect 6” and end up with 1.5”. Tim makes the same point.
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So when do the localized NWS forecasts start catching up to our wishcasting? Serious question though. I’m not seeing a lot of mets buying in...yet.
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I think I saw the handwriting on the wall yesterday with this event. We’ve been pitched one underhanded lob after the next and—at best—we somehow manage to hit crappy little grounders back to the pitcher. We started with a runner on second with no outs and we still can’t score. I have no faith in next weekend either.
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This is the first time I can remember when RAH was faster on updating their probabilistic maps than RNK.
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Just pulled this off the WPC page.
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Sadly, this is looking more like a fairly marginal event for most of us in this thread with maybe a couple of exceptions. Anyone swallowing verbatim (or even half of) what the models are serving up is going to be disappointed on Sunday. I hate to sound like Wildremann, but I’m going with what the professionals are forecasting. When is the last time this board went into storm mode for a winter event that effected the southeastern subforum?
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WGHP’s call map had only a dusting to 1” in the mountains with absolutely nothing in the lower elevations. Is it time to pass on this one?
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From RAH’s forecast discussion this morning: As much as it hurts down deep, I’ll defer to their good judgment.
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“Hey, it’s gonna snow bigly this weekend, guys!” Meanwhile, at your regional NWS office...
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True. I walked the dog today in short sleeves and no jacket while in the upper 40s.
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Is it as warm as the NAM?
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This could be so much more if just a couple of degrees colder at the surface. Same song; second verse.
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It seems to happen often. Darn gubmint.
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Southeaster weather poster: “Can’t trust these models. Not enough good atmospheric sampling due to fewer airplanes flying because of covid.” Also southeastern weather poster: “Boom!” j/k
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This is through 8:00 AM Sunday morning, but the NWS isn’t biting yet.
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I guess it’s all relative. Our context is different compared to, say, Buffalo. To snow-starved Southrons, moderate snow does indeed feel like a pummeling.
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Ah, the siren song of the models are calling to us. “Come to me, child. See the NAM. Look at my GFS. Come bask in my wintry precip.” Don’t fall for it. She’ll only break your heart.
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Petr is like an orange barrel out there. Everyone insists on sliding into him lately. Bad luck. I hope they can continue this momentum they have. With the abbreviated season, getting off to a good start is important because a slump later is always possible. Banking some points now eases the pressure later.
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Congratulations. They’re great to have. I’ve had my 22kw generator for a year now and not a single significant storm-related outage to show for it. Not even a tropical system. I’ve jinxed us.
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In these “uncertain times”—I’m so tired of hearing that phrase—we’ll take whatever wintry precip we can get. LOL.
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Weather Station Recommendations
magpiemaniac replied to Northern FireWX Watcher's topic in Weather Marketplace
I’ve really enjoyed the WeatherFlow Tempest. Runs about $330. Check out all the Tempest stations online on this map. It was easy to mount, set up, and has been very accurate. -
The run has resumed.
