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George001

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Everything posted by George001

  1. George001
    I disagree, I want it to keep trending north.
  2. George001
    I think it will come north more, but not a lot. The blocking forces the low to redevelop, but that doesn’t mean it will go over the benchmark and give snow to the mid Atlantic and cape. Most guidance is inside the benchmark, not over it. It is very possible that the low ends up going over the canal, leading to rain snow line issues. It wouldn’t take a massive north adjustment for that to happen, and I really think that’s more likely than the jackpot being SE. Honestly, I’m rooting for that because it would mean a stronger storm even though my area wouldn’t be the jackpot with that track. I’d rather get 20 while someone north of me gets 30 than get 15 while everyone else gets 12, so I say bring on the north trends. In this scenario, Tblizz and Metfan would get some rain.
  3. George001
    Looks like the guidance beefed up a bit from last night, but not as much as the Euro yesterday. That’s a great look, strong consensus for 12-18 inches of snow and it’s very close to being quite a bit more. The NAO is negative and there is a strong low tracking to our SE. If the bust scenario is “only” a foot, that’s how you know we have a monster on our hands.
  4. George001
    Is it just me or does the northern shortwave look closer to phasing in?
  5. George001
    He thought you were going to be 60 degrees, what a bust.
  6. George001
    looks like Kev was right, that’s quite a bit of ice in Tolland, CT.
  7. George001
    Yeah the models arent showing what the Euro did yesterday, but the important thing is they moved away from the cutter and are showing a Miller B now. Im not buying a progressive solution at all, in my opinion they will start trending back to yesterday’s Euro run over the next couple of days due to the blocking.
  8. George001
    It’s not 6-10, it’s 12-18 even on the weaker runs.
  9. George001
    Behind Feb 28th- March 1st Miller B there is another huge storm behind it on the models. It is cutting right now yes, but I am noticing a strengthening signal for secondary redevelopment. The crazy thing is, as strong as the late Feb/Early March storm looks to be, the one right behind it looks just as big if not bigger.
  10. George001
    This does have more upside if the Euro is right but even if the other models are right that would be a great result. 12-18 inches with another monster a few days later.
  11. George001
    Yeah, the NAM seems to do well with these storms. My area was never expected to get much in terms of snow accumulations, but the changeover to sleet was a couple hours faster than expected.
  12. George001
    My weather app says it’s snowing out. Thats not right, it’s raining. It was sleeting earlier but changed over to rain.
  13. George001
    Congrats Philly DC isn’t going to happen, not in a Miller B.
  14. George001
    It’s coming, the models had this storm cutting for a while but over the past few cycles it redeveloped further and further south. Now it is looking like a full blown Miller B, with the models showing not only showing 24+ hours of heavy snow, but they are also showing strong winds. With the model consensus rapidly converging on the long duration Miller B solution rather than cutter, it is likely we are looking at a New England blizzard, with the potential to become a historic blizzard (top 10 all time) in the Boston area.
  15. George001
    Gfs is now on board
  16. George001
    Gfs suite is on its own
  17. George001
    With blocking that strong the 50/50 isn’t going anywhere. Unless the blocking weakens a lot I like our chances. The only model not on board now is the gfs.
  18. George001
    Holy shit…… even half of that would be a huge storm.
  19. George001
    Realistically what’s the ceiling for this?
  20. George001
    I hope it’s right
  21. George001
    This isn’t like the others, we are tracking a storm with blizzard potential in the mid range now. Even the late December threat which once looked promising was cutting into Wisconsin once it got to the 6-7 day range.
  22. George001
    Euro doubled down and we now have the Canadian on board. The best part is, this is without a doubt a Miller B. I’m all in
  23. George001
    The cold air thing is a valid point, but it is important to consider that if the storm is strong enough it can make its own cold.
  24. George001
    The Euro is the best model we have and it’s not clown range. Even a blend of the Euro and Gfs would be good, something like the Canadian for example. Yes it’s not as good as the Euro but it still gives us a plowable snow.
  25. George001
    Long duration too, holy shit that’s a burial.
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