George001
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Everything posted by George001
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Good run -
Regression? The post 2016 period has been quite mild with below average snow. With our warming base state we may as well embrace it, as in the long term our climate isn’t getting colder and snowier. That said, this doesn’t mean we can’t get big winters anymore.
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Is there a lag period for the MJO effects to start kicking in? If so that would support the wave 2 idea more than wave 1, since the MJO will have been established in phase 8 longer.
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Looks weak and disorganized for wave 1, let’s see what wave 2 does
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Not a huge storm but better than 18z, good start to the 0z suite.
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Wait a sec it looks really good at hour 150
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Low is way north, over central Long Island.
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Looks like some big changes on the gfs, I can’t really tell if they are good or bad though
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Those maps are a lot snowier than the ones on tropical tidbits. Regardless, looks really good at h5. The key takeaway this far out is we have an active period coming up with multiple chances.
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That’s a burial for NNE, and closes off just a bit too far north for eastern mass.
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It is amping up the wave behind it though
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Yeah there’s no sugarcoating it, yesterday’s gfs wasn’t good at all if you are rooting for snow. Low in Wisconsin with no secondary. Today’s 18z gfs is weak and ots.
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Kev and Torch Tiger all in
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Interesting thing about the gfs is it amps up the wave behind it and turns it into a strong storm just a couple days after the 1st wave whiffs. That second threat is still within the timeframe given for this thread too.
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Gfs is weak and disorganized, Canadian is a cutter and Euro is a big snowstorm. Still a long ways to go with this one.
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Yeah, nobody is saying we are going to get a blizzard or anything crazy like that. We are just acknowledging that things are looking more favorable than a couple days ago with more guidance showing Miller B redevelopment. It won’t be a blizzard, but a moderate snow is in the cards.
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Yeah it looks like it’s turning into a Miller B
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I kind of get it, this winter has been rough for snow weenies. I know this is kind of cruel, but there is a small part of me that hopes a low goes over his noggin for downplaying every threat, even though that would mean I rain too.
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Still needs work for SNE but a step in the right direction
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It’s trying for a Miller B, but primary still too far north so there’s no cold air.
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Gfs is still way north. It’s buried the energy again, Euro and Canadian eject more energy.
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Whatever drugs the Euro took before the start of this run, I want them.
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Hmm looks like it doesn’t plow into Canada after all. It transfers after cutting to the Dakotas but too late. Need that whole process to occur way SE for us to get snow.
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Yep Euro is more north. Looks like the low is plowing into the Dakotas and then into central Canada.
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Yep, it also looks like a second low is developing on the backside of storm after it cuts to Chicago. That wasn’t there last run.
