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George001

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Everything posted by George001

  1. Correct, the #1 ingredient when looking for snow is cold. The track was good for this storm, and I rained. Airmass is everything
  2. If you hate twitter so much why not just stay off it? You know the deal with twitter and what kind of people are pushing these agendas. Everything is exaggerated to being historic or record breaking, that’s what gets clicks.
  3. I know the models aren’t showing many hits right now, but they are also showing a lot of northern energy coming down over the next couple of weeks. Northern energy patterns can be tricky, storms pop up out of nowhere sometimes.
  4. Storms like this are always tricky. Even 1 or 2 degrees in marginal setups like this makes a huge difference for areas on the edge.
  5. I disagree with comparing this year to recent winters. The fall pattern has been different, it has been more seasonable to slightly BN rather than a torch, and has been stormier than last year. There are no guarantees in weather, but I feel a lot better about this upcoming winter than the past few years.
  6. Ah that’s too bad. Hopefully they get a good amount of snow on Tuesday and start building the snowpack.
  7. So it looks like my area is on the outside looking in on this one. How are things looking for Wachusett? I might go on Thursday morning if the conditions are good.
  8. It looks like you were right, im gonna be taking the L on this one. Oh well, I thought I was going to get a few inches but that is looking unlikely now.
  9. That’s the right way to look at it. We have more storm threats ahead of this. This one looks like it’s going to be for northern areas.
  10. Yeah the latest guidance has a weaker than average polar vortex into mid Jan.
  11. Be patient, things will be different this year. That was in the past.
  12. I stand corrected, but I am glad to see it looks like they will keep doing well. I am going to be skiing a lot in December, so I have a good reason to be excited for the north. Plenty of time for my area to get snow later in the month.
  13. I hope the GFS has the right idea. Great run for the north, would be a great start for ski resorts.
  14. Oh well he’s probably right then. The ceiling isn’t that high here anyways, so I’ll root for the north even if it means I get nothing. I gotta root against Tblizz here, nothing against the guy but he’s been super negative and made comparisons to previous winters. Don’t get me wrong, being negative in this setup is completely logical. The high is leaving, which is a huge limitation. I just don’t agree with comparing to previous winters.
  15. You are 15 miles southeast of me, in my opinion that’s going to matter for this storm. I could be wrong, but im betting on me getting a minor snow event and you getting all rain.
  16. I am in a much better spot than you are for this storm. I don’t think I am getting a lot, but nothing is unlikely.
  17. It’s going to be a good event for ski areas. You will get nothing because you live in the ocean and it’s not winter yet.
  18. Great run for ski areas. Honestly, I’d be happy with it verbatim even though it’s more of a messy solution for my area.
  19. Agree with most of this, but think the second half of December could be interesting. The 2-3rd threat is real, but id favor NW of both of us for plowable snows at this stage. If we can thread the needle and squeeze out 4-8 inches that would be awesome, but those mild early Dec ocean temps are going to be working against us. Still worth keeping an eye on though.
  20. The modeled pattern now looks more like Dec 07 or Dec 08 than Dec 2010. Still great for northern areas, more dicey SE due to the lack of blocking. @40/70 Benchmark appears to have had the right idea based on recent changes to the long range guidance.
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