Mount Joy Snowman

Okay, yes that's the timeframe I was thinking of too. I was thinking that event was more isolated than what you described but I guess I am thinking of the area that got a foot, which I believe was a narrow swath right over the heart of Manheim Township, which is where Horst resides. Yeah, I would love to find that article again. The LNP search engine is doing me no favors ha.

Are you referring to that overnight event that dumped like a foot in primarily the Lititiz/Manheim Township area? That was crazy but I thought it was considered more of an unexplainable random convective event similar to a stray pop-up thunderstorm. I thought they were having trouble determining the reasoning for the event, almost freakish in nature. I didn't think it was associated with a norlun but I could be mistaken. Perhaps we are talking about different events? There used to be a really good LNP article talking about that exact event but I can't find it despite searching their website to the best of my ability. Do you recall the date or even the year of the one you're talking about? I do recall that photo of Horst with his foot of snow haha.

Virtually no support for the ultra-tucked solution we saw on the 12z GFS.

I still thought there were some notable improvements on the Euro, albeit slight. I agree that an advisory type event is most likely at this point, perhaps low-end warning.

Probably true but in her mind the next man to come along is always Mr. Perfect.

Is she on to something or will she be left at the alter?

GFS will not relent. Throws out monster and ticks west.

Low of 33 and foggy but with no rain yet. The overnight runs were a mixed bag but more bad than good. My fear, and most likely outcome at this point, is that we are too far west to cash in on the best of the coastal and too far east for the best of the upper level trough action. Stuck somewhere in the middle with a showery couple, to perhaps a few, inches. Next 36 hours critical for any hope with the coastal. 12z looms.

Yep, and so did the Canadian. Lord knows we are in that period where the models love to seesaw. Fun times ahead.

33 and foggy. No rain yet despite some decent radar returns overhead earlier. The 0z suite would be quite a kick in the nuts but nothing we aren’t used to ha.

To me, the Euro got a good bit closer compared to where it's been. I think it's finally starting to see it and will come around in days ahead.

This is getting real fellas. I don't know if I can handle the week ahead ha.

GFS with a nice early transfer then tries to climb the coast. Ya love to see it.

Today marks exactly one month that I've maintained a snowpack. Love it. Also, 12z off to a great start as ICON holds for Sunday storm.

Low of 34. Love hearing that the overnight runs moved in a positive direction. Seems like we’ll have a real storm to track. I mean, we’re basically only five days out already. Big runs the next 48 hours.

Ukie on board with the Miller B type scenario for Sunday. We may have another week of tracking ahead fellas. Buckle up.

Das ist sehr gut!

I matched you almost to a T. In fact, if you knew how much time I just spent staring at my fully melted down gauge agonizing over whether to put .33 or .34 in the books you'd be disturbed haha. For the record, when factoring in the meniscus I went with .33". I'll see myself out now.

Low of 32 with a nice little coating on most surfaces here. Melting down the gauge but it looks to be at least .3” liquid. Precip wasn’t an issue here, cold air was just a touch slow to arrive. I’m putting .1” snowfall in the books but curious if anyone around me was up ~1-3am to get a proper measurement?

Aaaaand there it is, I can rest easy now, as snow is officially falling at KMJS with a temp of 33. Night all.

mPING reports of snow falling in parts of Berks and Lehigh Counties. That area could actually see a couple inches.

Temp has fallen to 37 here as rainfall has surpassed 1/8". Radar is blossoming as rain picks up in intensity. I'll be damned if I'm going to bed tonight before seeing some flakes fall through the night sky.

Very light rain has broken out here. I think I see a transition to wet snow sometime between ~8-11pm. Putting the O/U at .3". It may not lay on most surfaces, but it will have no problem laying on the pack

Yep. Should still be fun to see the battle this evening as wet flakes try to work their way into the rain. Just as warm air aloft always seems to arrive ahead of schedule, I've often found that the rain to snow backend transition tends to happen quicker than shown as well. If you squint at the 12z suite you can see some ever so slight improvements in this regard. I just want to see some white in the sky at night as I sip an old fashioned. At this point that will be a win in my book ha.

Low of 28. Looks like the lower level warmth will win out with the column too slow to cool to the surface. Perhaps a slushy half inch on the tail end. Then we finally lose our pack this week. MDT and LNS both topped out at 48 yesterday. Onward.