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Mount Joy Snowman

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Everything posted by Mount Joy Snowman

  1. Mount Joy Snowman
    Das ist sehr gut!
  2. Mount Joy Snowman
    I matched you almost to a T. In fact, if you knew how much time I just spent staring at my fully melted down gauge agonizing over whether to put .33 or .34 in the books you'd be disturbed haha. For the record, when factoring in the meniscus I went with .33". I'll see myself out now.
  3. Mount Joy Snowman
    Low of 32 with a nice little coating on most surfaces here. Melting down the gauge but it looks to be at least .3” liquid. Precip wasn’t an issue here, cold air was just a touch slow to arrive. I’m putting .1” snowfall in the books but curious if anyone around me was up ~1-3am to get a proper measurement?
  4. Mount Joy Snowman
    Aaaaand there it is, I can rest easy now, as snow is officially falling at KMJS with a temp of 33. Night all.
  5. Mount Joy Snowman
    mPING reports of snow falling in parts of Berks and Lehigh Counties. That area could actually see a couple inches.
  6. Mount Joy Snowman
    Temp has fallen to 37 here as rainfall has surpassed 1/8". Radar is blossoming as rain picks up in intensity. I'll be damned if I'm going to bed tonight before seeing some flakes fall through the night sky.
  7. Mount Joy Snowman
    Very light rain has broken out here. I think I see a transition to wet snow sometime between ~8-11pm. Putting the O/U at .3". It may not lay on most surfaces, but it will have no problem laying on the pack
  8. Mount Joy Snowman
    Yep. Should still be fun to see the battle this evening as wet flakes try to work their way into the rain. Just as warm air aloft always seems to arrive ahead of schedule, I've often found that the rain to snow backend transition tends to happen quicker than shown as well. If you squint at the 12z suite you can see some ever so slight improvements in this regard. I just want to see some white in the sky at night as I sip an old fashioned. At this point that will be a win in my book ha.
  9. Mount Joy Snowman
    Low of 28. Looks like the lower level warmth will win out with the column too slow to cool to the surface. Perhaps a slushy half inch on the tail end. Then we finally lose our pack this week. MDT and LNS both topped out at 48 yesterday. Onward.
  10. Mount Joy Snowman
    At 18z the HRRR still isn't on board and the NAMs now keep things mostly all rain. Guess we'll find out tomorrow ha.
  11. Mount Joy Snowman
    Haha I was actually going to chime in to say the same, that you are probably juuuust outside of the blue dot.
  12. Mount Joy Snowman
    Yeah it will take some rates for sure but that's what some of the meso's are showing down our way. You are right though, what's being depicted as snowfall on these maps will surely not amount to that much on the ground with the marginal temps in place. Heck, I was scouring through skew-T's earlier and we really would be walking the tight rope through the lower part of the column, with a wet snow and a surface right around freezing. Could be fun though.
  13. Mount Joy Snowman
    Would likely start as a light rain sometime during the mid afternoon and transition to a steady snow during the evening hours.
  14. Mount Joy Snowman
    GFS holds steady with a few inches for southern parts of the forum. Slightly less qpf than prior runs.
  15. Mount Joy Snowman
    RRFS, FV3, and HRW sisters are all on board for a few inches across much of the forum. This is getting interesting.
  16. Mount Joy Snowman
    NAM comes around in a big way. Not saying this verifies but man would this come as a surprise to many people.
  17. Mount Joy Snowman
    Low of 23. I decided to check in on MU’s twitter feed since he basically mocked the possibility of anything happening here earlier in the week and sure enough he has been ranting about the models again the last couple of days. He is really going through it this winter.
  18. Mount Joy Snowman
    Low of 18. My pack has barely shrunk a millimeter this week. Tomorrow should do some work though.
  19. Mount Joy Snowman
    Current temp of 29 is the low. Looks like yesterday broke (just barely) MDT’s consecutive streak of below normal days.
  20. Mount Joy Snowman
    Same here, 37 the entire time from Mount Joy to my house. It’s amazing what thick clouds and sturdy winds can do for temperature consistency.
  21. Mount Joy Snowman
    Some flurries on the walk to the train in Harrisburg. What a gray day.
  22. Mount Joy Snowman
    I woke up this morning to see NWS had changed my forecast to mostly sunny and was expecting a decent day. It's been completely overcast and the north winds are howling. Just went for a walk around Harrisburg at lunch and it was miserable haha.
  23. Mount Joy Snowman
    No sir. Denied. I refuse to trade good posters for bad ones. Hang in there mate.
  24. Mount Joy Snowman
    Low of 29 with no signs of measurable precip. Not holding my breath for the late weekend storm but will still be monitoring closely. Would give my left pinky for Blizz’s 0z Euro map to verify.
  25. Mount Joy Snowman
    Outside of the CMC, the 12z model suite is less than inspiring for the late weekend threat, to put it mildly.
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