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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. TimB
    Now to see if it continues to carry the storm for next weekend.
  2. TimB
    Temp bounced around a lot last night if you look at the 5-min obs. Same with the night before. I know if you get a puff of wind or a few passing clouds on these deep radiational cooling nights it can really have an effect, but it doesn’t look like there was much of that in the obs last night as compared to the night before.
  3. TimB
    Looks like it was an interesting interhour -6 at about 6:20 this morning, between a 5:51 obs of 0 and a 6:51 obs of 1.
  4. TimB
    Way, way too early, but the last 2 GFS runs are showing something big next weekend. It’s almost like the pattern wants to reload after the warm-up next week.
  5. TimB
    Nearest PWS to me got to -8, so we’ll go with that imby. I concur that this has been not just a good winter period, but a great winter period that has made it easy to forget December. By the time the snowpack goes away, we should be on the plus side of two weeks with continuous snow cover.
  6. TimB
    PIT recorded a 5-min obs of 0 in the past hour before jumping back up to 5, so today will officially have a low of at least 0.
  7. TimB
    Still 16 degrees at this hour. Is today the day we finally break that ridiculous streak?
  8. TimB
    Good point.
  9. TimB
    In a word, no.
  10. TimB
    God, the way they melt down when these storms fail them (and I do believe this one will) puts the PA threads to shame.
  11. TimB
    Cautious optimism, but encouraging signs from the models this morning (both ops and ens) about the upcoming pattern progression and duration of next week’s torch.
  12. TimB
    Just hard to see a scenario where we’re not well inside the trough this weekend and perhaps find our way back into subzero territory at some point.
  13. TimB
    Also could be pushing 20 days that didn’t get above freezing by the time the month is over. Normal for January is like 12, I think.
  14. TimB
    Models seem to suggest we could score another couple inches Friday, which would seem to be our last opportunity for snow before the pattern flips next week, which I’m still hopeful is a transient return to warmth.
  15. TimB
    PIT observed 2.2”, bringing us within 0.8” of normal through today’s date.
  16. TimB
    I know, lol. I was just kidding.
  17. TimB
    Yeah, and since then we’ve had two notable snowstorm busts: 1/19/19 and last weekend. Those can be mentioned in the same breath, right?
  18. TimB
    Why is last week’s storm that came up just slightly short of what we wanted still the topic of conversation anyway?
  19. TimB
    And a little perspective here: today clinched an above normal January for snowfall. We’re at 16.9” for the winter, normal through this date is 20.2”. To be at 85% of normal season to date snowfall is pretty solid given how horrific December was. It hasn’t been an epic January, but it’s been a good to great January that checked more of the boxes than it didn’t.
  20. TimB
    Jesus, this thread today is virtually unreadable. All I wanted to know was how this clipper worked out while I’m out of town and it looks like this went from basically a non-event when I left on Friday to a solid clipper putting down a couple to maybe a few inches. It’s hard to see how something like this would “bust” unless the ground truth ended up being a coating or something in that range, which it didn’t.
  21. TimB
    Temp has officially made it to 20 at PIT, the 1053rd consecutive day of 20 or higher. Previous record was 741.
  22. TimB
    Things seem to have moved away from locking in the really cold air next weekend to possibly putting us in a better pattern for snow.
  23. TimB
    The EC suggests it could be that same region, and throws the good stuff our way as it finally ejects north.
  24. TimB
    Euro seems to be all about the cold next week. It’s been very consistent in that regard. Not “last panel of the Ukie” cold but plenty cold enough.
  25. TimB
    I’m not holding my breath on this one, it’s over a week out. If I had to bet, there will be a good snowfall somewhere, but it really could be anywhere if it does happen.
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