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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. Someone isn’t going to like this… Also that’s the 0z. 12z is similar but even weaker. Does give us some ice at the beginning.
  2. Another fun little squall here. Less intense than the first.
  3. Would love for other models to be as bullish with this being a cold system as the GFS has been, but beggars can’t be choosers.
  4. In other news, 12z GFS looks good for the late week storm.
  5. Looks like PIT gusted to 47 and AGC to 45. Wind is definitely overperforming.
  6. That good band looks poised to run through the north hills, I hope.
  7. I’m not saying our snow climo is worse than Philly or DC, because that’s obviously not the case. I’m saying that our snow climo relative to our neighbors is much worse than Philly or DC’s snow climo relative to their neighbors, because they’re adjacent to areas that also suck, but we’re adjacent to areas that regularly jackpot. Regardless, most of the area looks to probably get a squall at some point this morning.
  8. You’re in like Beaver, right? Where there was that nice area of yellow on the radar?
  9. Dude, I’m not stalking you on Reddit. I looked for the stalker’s account and accidentally happened to stumble upon yours.
  10. Won’t comment until this event is over, but it’s best to just keep expectations low. It’s no secret that if there were a stat for “snow climo relative to neighboring areas”, Pittsburgh may very well be in or near last place in the entire US.
  11. You could argue December and February last year, though February was marginal (most of the snow on the ground for a few weeks was from the last day of January), but that’s the only winter since I moved back here in 2015 that had more than one winter month. You could also make a case for ‘17-18, but that would require you to include March.
  12. I’m a little down that unless the storm late next week pans out, 2 of the 3 winter months were abysmal, but I still view the MLK storm as a success.
  13. The commonality is that the model that shows the least snow or the most warmth has won almost every time. This time it’s the Euro.
  14. NWS is particularly pessimistic about that chance. They’re carrying a 20% chance of precip.
  15. Euro suggests another waste of an inch and a half of QPF this time next week.
  16. Like, is it too much to ask that more than one of the three winter months looks and feels like winter in any given year?
  17. Today’s high at PIT looks like it’ll be the 35 recorded at midnight. AGC’s high for today will be 59. Quirks of frontal timing.
  18. 2021 had the remnants of Ida but that doesn’t really count. What I am thinking of in 2021 is the second rainiest March day in Pittsburgh’s history (2.19” on 3/18). Yesterday’s 1.6” was 7th all time for Feb. It’s these garden variety rainy days that end up being historic that stick in my mind.
  19. Haven’t looked at models yet but going to guess guidance trended badly/torchy on next week’s system based on a quick glance at the iPhone weather app? Oh well, can still enjoy whatever we get today/tomorrow, even if it’s not much.
  20. PIT is up to 57 with wind still screaming out of the SSW. It’ll be interesting to see what goes in the books for tomorrow’s high. Edit: just like that, we are going to have our first official 60 degree reading of 2022 at PIT as of 10:30. From 54 to 60 in a half hour.
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