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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. TimB
    I’m a little down that unless the storm late next week pans out, 2 of the 3 winter months were abysmal, but I still view the MLK storm as a success.
  2. TimB
    The commonality is that the model that shows the least snow or the most warmth has won almost every time. This time it’s the Euro.
  3. TimB
    NWS is particularly pessimistic about that chance. They’re carrying a 20% chance of precip.
  4. TimB
    Euro suggests another waste of an inch and a half of QPF this time next week.
  5. TimB
    Like, is it too much to ask that more than one of the three winter months looks and feels like winter in any given year?
  6. TimB
    Love our climo.
  7. TimB
    Today’s high at PIT looks like it’ll be the 35 recorded at midnight. AGC’s high for today will be 59. Quirks of frontal timing.
  8. TimB
    2021 had the remnants of Ida but that doesn’t really count. What I am thinking of in 2021 is the second rainiest March day in Pittsburgh’s history (2.19” on 3/18). Yesterday’s 1.6” was 7th all time for Feb. It’s these garden variety rainy days that end up being historic that stick in my mind.
  9. TimB
    Haven’t looked at models yet but going to guess guidance trended badly/torchy on next week’s system based on a quick glance at the iPhone weather app? Oh well, can still enjoy whatever we get today/tomorrow, even if it’s not much.
  10. TimB
    PIT is up to 57 with wind still screaming out of the SSW. It’ll be interesting to see what goes in the books for tomorrow’s high. Edit: just like that, we are going to have our first official 60 degree reading of 2022 at PIT as of 10:30. From 54 to 60 in a half hour.
  11. TimB
    It’s easy to get a lot of precip when the dewpoint is 53. But it can’t snow when the dewpoint is 53.
  12. TimB
    That’s the other thing I hate about our recent weather, is how often we get these big precip dumps.
  13. TimB
    Set to completely obliterate our daily rainfall record, previously 0.82” and now pushing 1.5” at PIT. Should be a top 10 wettest February day on record.
  14. TimB
    Euro continues to point to one of the worst features of our climo: it can be anomalously cold before and after a storm, but the storm itself is a rainy torch.
  15. TimB
    Edited my post above. The evolution of the Canadian is weird, to say the least. Not sure how it plays out that way.
  16. TimB
    But I digress. Canadian is a huge hit, but the evolution is wonky.
  17. TimB
    Also Pittsburgh interesting weather climo, summed up in one map:
  18. TimB
    Pittsburgh snow climo, summed up in one map:
  19. TimB
    That’s what I’m seeing. Best case we get a front end advisory level thump that melts as soon as it turns to rain and temps blast toward 50ish. Worst case we get 2” of straight rain.
  20. TimB
    Lots of time to iron out the details but it sure is looking like we get a colder pattern mid-next week, but as soon as it’s time for the storm it cuts and we torch, as is typical for Pittsburgh.
  21. TimB
    The last of the MLK bust melted from my yard today. I ordered myself a nice dinner via DoorDash to celebrate.
  22. TimB
    PIT is officially at 59, warmest day of 2022 so far.
  23. TimB
    12z for late next week- Euro: cutter, rainstorm GFS: miss south CMC: modest hit, a couple inches
  24. TimB
    Now all 3 models ram a cutter either through or just west of the area, which is less than ideal but it’s 9 days out. Canadian has the feature at least 24 hours earlier than the other two. I get the feeling the ensembles are somewhat better?
  25. TimB
    That’s Friday. If we push well into the 60s, it would be during the first half of the week.
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