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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. All of that is true. It’s just, there was a time within a lot of our lifetimes that you could get 9” of snow in the climatologically coldest part of winter and it would be reasonable to expect it to have some staying power and not have the majority of it melt within 60 hours of the end of the storm. Then again, there was also a time within a lot of our lifetimes that highs near 20 and lows in the single digits to near 0 wouldn’t be described as “big cold”.
  2. Who said I wanted to do anything about it? Just lamenting something that sucks about our climate in recent years.
  3. Front of my house faces north toward the street. The backyard is protected by trees, so it still has a solid snowpack. The front yard is somewhat protected by my house, so it still has a decent snowpack. (Except in areas where my dog trampled down the snow, which are obviously a bit worse off.) Across the street where there is much less protection from the sun, there are large patches of green visible. And still 3 hours of daylight and several more hours of temps above freezing to go.
  4. Clouds seem to be thickening some here. Hopefully that stops the bleeding.
  5. That’s what I mean. Whenever we get a pattern that looks good for snow retention, it gets put in jeopardy by a day that was supposed to be overcast and struggle to reach 40 instead torching well into the mid-40s with lots of sun.
  6. As long as it stays mostly overcast and there’s no rain we should be able to keep a good snowpack.
  7. Looks like PIT is already at 40 and AGC is already at 42. Seems like high temperatures always overperform when we have a chance to melt snow.
  8. This storm is a lock. Only fly in the ointment is whether the NAM mixes sleet in when it gets into range.
  9. Simple. A low forms in the Gulf, runs up the coast, drops 50mb in 24 hours, then retrogrades westward.
  10. Just need a little NW shift on the GFS D11 storm and we’re good. Get something like that and I don’t care if it changes the pattern.
  11. Blasphemy. You’ll get like 25-30 consecutive weeks of 50s or higher soon enough.
  12. I have nothing against clippers. Refresh the snowpack with a couple inches every so often? Sign me up.
  13. True. Scoring big in January is always the key.
  14. I don’t like the part about “shifting back toward what we saw in December.”
  15. GFS continues to like the idea of a clipper early next week. 12z run depicts it with solid advisory level snows.
  16. GFS solution of an inch or two tomorrow night would maybe go a long way to allowing us to reach that elusive -1 by Friday morning.
  17. Trusting in the NAM to pull this weekend system north as it gets more in range.
  18. Our season snowfall deficit stands at just 4 inches through today.
  19. No, I can’t see how anything other than snow would fall in that setup.
  20. You think we can start Saturday with a low near 0 and still find a way to have sleet/zr/rain by the end of the day?
  21. Looks like the 24 hour total at PIT was 9.1” (3.5 yesterday and 5.6 today). I’d say this thing panned out.
  22. Do they shut down for modeled snow on any model, or do they make an exception if it’s just the NAM?
  23. This thread was 7 pages long when the GFS first picked up this storm. It’s now 53.
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