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TimB

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  1. TimB
    But also yes, throw the blasted GFS out. It suggested we’d be below freezing all day. I’m writing my representative and telling him I don’t want another penny of my taxes going toward the GFS. Update: I did and his response was “what’s the GFS?” (Kidding, but it wouldn’t surprise me.)
  2. TimB
    The version that includes sleet, sure.
  3. TimB
    Still hopeful here. We have to get something before we bounce back close to 40 virtually every day next week, right? Forgot how quick winter begins to unravel as soon as the calendar flips to February in the last 10 years or so.
  4. TimB
    We’d have also dryslotted instead of having 8 straight hours of precip.
  5. TimB
    HRRR is a degree or two too warm initially, but looks like it doesn’t hit 32 in Pittsburgh until midnight.
  6. TimB
    Especially uncropped android screenshots. That might be the most infuriating part.
  7. TimB
    I would imagine a full day of 33 and rain would feel similar to if your team made the Super Bowl 4 years in a row and lost all of them, to put it in perspective.
  8. TimB
    I know what you were pointing out, and I was impressed for all of 13 seconds (see what I did there?).
  9. TimB
    Sensitive? What, am I supposed to be impressed that upstate New York is getting hammered with snow like they do basically every day of every winter?
  10. TimB
    I agree. Upstate New Yorkers who get more snow in an average season than we’ve ever gotten in any season need to stop flexing their totals. Like, we get it. They’re getting a foot or two of snow, like they do several times every winter. At some point it stops being impressive.
  11. TimB
    On the one hand these storms are fun to track and we knew the p-type at this hour would almost certainly be plain rain, but on the other hand it’s agonizing to watch it rain all day wondering if/when we’ll get any return on investment.
  12. TimB
    Read a few discussions from PBZ and then complain about anything CTP does.
  13. TimB
    Operational models are trending much closer to a seasonable look for Feb with intrusions of above normal heights from time to time (and some below). Ensembles haven’t yet come to that conclusion. Simply put, I feel like we have to score a few inches on the back end of this to get us through a period that might not be as productive for us.
  14. TimB
    In these situations, the warmest guidance often wins so I wouldn’t be surprised if the Canadian nails it.
  15. TimB
    My wife has a master’s degree and I guarantee you she has no idea what a NWS forecast discussion is or where to find one. Probably also didn’t know prior to seeing me looking at weather models that there was a place where peons like you or I could see the GFS run every 6 hours, or even what the GFS is.
  16. TimB
    HRRR and the like even have modest warming (a degree or two) before it starts to cool back down. It’s these kinds of storms that make me realize how much I don’t know about weather.
  17. TimB
  18. TimB
    Looks like that wind shift occurred at around 3:00 this morning at PIT and between 4:00 and 5:00 at AGC.
  19. TimB
    Would think that most of those factors work against efficient ice accretion during the day today even in areas that are below 32.
  20. TimB
    Agreed. Glad the snow largely survived the warm part of this week but what’s left looks like hell.
  21. TimB
    Well 1” of zr qpf doesn’t mean 1” accretion, correct? I don’t subscribe to Pivotal premium but I know there are maps for more realistic accretion. What % of zr qpf usually “sticks”?
  22. TimB
    AGC has gone from 39 to 34 in an hour.
  23. TimB
    AGC was at 35 at 8am and PIT was at 32. The HRRR had a temp of 37 in Pittsburgh for 8am so 2 degrees warmer than AGC.
  24. TimB
    HRRR suggests temps bounce around in the 36-38 range all day, but would suspect it’s too warm because the airport is still supposedly above freezing as modeled.
  25. TimB
    Point & click for the airport has temps hovering around 30 all day. Point & click for me has a “high of 39” and this entertaining hourly forecast that says it should currently be 32 with a wind chill of 35 and a dewpoint of 37?
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