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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. TimB
    Looks like that wind shift occurred at around 3:00 this morning at PIT and between 4:00 and 5:00 at AGC.
  2. TimB
    Would think that most of those factors work against efficient ice accretion during the day today even in areas that are below 32.
  3. TimB
    Agreed. Glad the snow largely survived the warm part of this week but what’s left looks like hell.
  4. TimB
    Well 1” of zr qpf doesn’t mean 1” accretion, correct? I don’t subscribe to Pivotal premium but I know there are maps for more realistic accretion. What % of zr qpf usually “sticks”?
  5. TimB
    AGC has gone from 39 to 34 in an hour.
  6. TimB
    AGC was at 35 at 8am and PIT was at 32. The HRRR had a temp of 37 in Pittsburgh for 8am so 2 degrees warmer than AGC.
  7. TimB
    HRRR suggests temps bounce around in the 36-38 range all day, but would suspect it’s too warm because the airport is still supposedly above freezing as modeled.
  8. TimB
    Point & click for the airport has temps hovering around 30 all day. Point & click for me has a “high of 39” and this entertaining hourly forecast that says it should currently be 32 with a wind chill of 35 and a dewpoint of 37?
  9. TimB
    But aren’t watches/warnings/advisories based on a significant portion of a county getting hit with warning level impacts and not just the western/northern edges?
  10. TimB
    Remember, regular rain is the only p-type we get in May, and June, and July, and August, and September, and 97% of April and October, and a majority of March and November. Would it kill us to see something interesting like copious amounts of ice or sleet tomorrow?
  11. TimB
    I was thinking the same thing for awhile but now I think I’m rooting for the ice to keep this from being the total snoozefest that it appears to be turning into.
  12. TimB
    And they broad-brush us into the same warning with Clarion County and the like. And I’m not sure why the warning goes into effect at 4am either.
  13. TimB
    Realistically that’s what I was trying to figure out too before we got off on this tangent. The warm air hangs on longer but would think based on nearly every model, 1.1” of snow and 0.09” of ice seems like a lowball.
  14. TimB
    If you think it was a bust, fine. If it still irks you three weeks later, maybe you should talk to your guidance counselor about it.
  15. TimB
    This one isn’t a bust, just a mild disappointment where the NWS holds onto warnings for far too long and slowly lowers the numbers in the warning text so they can be “right”. (See also, 1/19/19, though we had expectations for that one.)
  16. TimB
    And some of the snow that fell on that day is still in your yard, if only for another few hours.
  17. TimB
    The way you talk about it, you’d think it was 1/19/19.
  18. TimB
    You have to be trolling at this point.
  19. TimB
    They did update the warning, wording still says 1-3” of snow and now “up to a quarter inch of ice.” I guess technically they’d be right if it’s 1.1” and 0.09” but that seems a little disingenuous.
  20. TimB
    Agreed. Let’s just enjoy the 0.09” of ice and the 1.1” of snow the NWS says we’re getting (hey, that’s 0.2” more than climo for Feb 3-4!) and hopefully no one gets hurt or killed.
  21. TimB
    Point being, 1-2 with up to a tenth of ice is definitively advisory stuff and we should anticipate a downgrade this evening.
  22. TimB
    I’m confused. PBZ adjusted both snow and ice in Allegheny County downward?
  23. TimB
    Suppose you got an inch of ice but the power stayed on. Take or toss?
  24. TimB
    A “bust” from this system to me would be something like maybe 1-3” of snow and 0.1-0.3” of ice.
  25. TimB
    Prior run had the airport looking at well over an inch. But point taken, relative “lack”. There is zr in the areas you mentioned.
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