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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. TimB
    All of it falls at temps of 28 or lower and most of it falls at temps 25 or lower, which would help ratios.
  2. TimB
    I’ll take the over.
  3. TimB
    I would say it shifted a good bit south. The 12z run had basically no snow through daybreak Friday, this one has a warning level snow. And the lack of zr, while good, is a massive change.
  4. TimB
    18z HRRR is interesting. Basically goes straight from rain to sleet in Pittsburgh.
  5. TimB
    Good thing the warning starts at 4am so people can panic about their morning commute in a 39 degree rain.
  6. TimB
    Might be the first time I’ve yawned while reading a winter storm warning.
  7. TimB
    If you have to be stuck somewhere, I’d suggest it be anywhere but work.
  8. TimB
    In theory, an advisory gets issued for areas that even see as much as a drop of freezing rain, right?
  9. TimB
    Thing is, the ensembles generally have moved back to a below normal temp look for much of the period, which I think is a good thing.
  10. TimB
    Until 18z, we can pretend.
  11. TimB
  12. TimB
    Just for fun at this point, but this is an incredible GFS run. Snowstorm, Arctic outbreak, rinse and repeat. We have 27” piled up through hour 300, parts of SW Ohio are pushing 4 feet.
  13. TimB
    32 line seems to be advancing a little faster on the Canadian. Of course, that means we get pounded with ice.
  14. TimB
    I wouldn’t trust the RAP at this range but it did go from 1.4” of snow on its previous extended run to pushing double digits on this one.
  15. TimB
    Do I? Does anyone?
  16. TimB
    0.76” ice and 5.9” snow plus what looks like a couple inches of sleet.
  17. TimB
    Verbatim, the GFS is probably the worst case scenario from a practical (non-weenie) perspective. Enough ice to knock out the power, a bunch of snow and temperatures plunging well below zero Saturday morning. Brutal.
  18. TimB
    Hey, just because we don’t do snow well doesn’t mean we can’t do literally every other p-type very well.
  19. TimB
    Would imagine this means they’re considering upping ice totals…
  20. TimB
    Oh for sure, warm advection will push the rain line further north than modeled 9 times out of 10, and even if this is that rare exception, I suppose ice totals would be reduced by the fact that some of the event is occurring during the day with temps close to freezing and ground temperatures probably above freezing in many instances.
  21. TimB
    Actually that HRRR run is an unmitigated disaster. Upwards of an inch of zr in a band from the airport through Wexford.
  22. TimB
    HRRR has 33-34 and rain in and around the city through at least 6pm tomorrow, while a steady freezing rain falls all day near the airport.
  23. TimB
    Would guess that the warm air holds on long enough not to snarl the PM commute, but people drive like idiots in rain too.
  24. TimB
    Southeast tier of CLE counties got an advisory, while the rest of their counties got a warning, if that’s any indicator of what product PBZ issues today.
  25. TimB
    Solid swath of 6” across Allegheny County.
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