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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. TimB
    Seems we have a solid shot at 90 on Wednesday and maybe a chance somewhere around Friday or the weekend, but this pattern looks warm and humid and perhaps rainy at times, but not a massive heat wave.
  2. TimB
    At first I thought maybe the HRRR badly underestimated cloud cover on those runs where it got us to 91 but that doesn’t seem to have been the case. Didn’t dive into the details of how it got us to 91 when it had us under cloud cover all day. That said, 80 if we’re lucky.
  3. TimB
    GFS is advertising the mid/upper 90s heat for next weekend the last few runs. Then again, this weekend is going to be a bust compared to what was forecast/modeled as recently as midweek. Going to be a lot of disgruntled casuals if they didn’t check the weather for a couple days and assumed this weekend would be summery.
  4. TimB
    Of course not. From what little I’ve read from him, he seems as serious about wanting BN temps year-round as I am.
  5. TimB
    Dude, you know it’s totally something I’d do, so no offense intended.
  6. TimB
    Hopefully @Ahoff took the time to vote in this silly poll. I know it would irk him if some random upstater saw 10 90+ days, especially if we manage not to.
  7. TimB
    Nice little somewhat unexpected storm last night for those of us that were lucky enough to be in its path.
  8. TimB
    0z GFS brought back the big heat too, but mostly beyond 240.
  9. TimB
    My thought on this would be that severe wind is much more common overall than severe hail or tornadoes, so it would stand to reason that the month with the most severe wind gusts would be the month with the most severe overall, and I could see that being July.
  10. TimB
    Especially weird that it would be two years in a row with 90s in June and none in July. Still, I think we get there a couple times.
  11. TimB
    I assume we’ll hit 90 at some point this month but it’d be funny if we didn’t.
  12. TimB
    As I see it, there are two possibilities for next week: either warm, humid, rainy and gross, or deathly hot but dry.
  13. TimB
    We’re getting pretty close to that “we really need rain” stage. Wouldn’t say it’s dire yet, but we could well be dry through the weekend if we miss out today. But I’ve really enjoyed not mowing, so maybe I shouldn’t be worried.
  14. TimB
    Indeed. Sad days in the Burgh, but the product on the field won’t be any better.
  15. TimB
    If I run the report on xmACIS, it’s one of the weakest records in July, though it shows as 88 in 2011 on there so I’m not sure where the 86 came from. Interesting that DUJ hit 87 today, PIT didn’t even hit 87.
  16. TimB
    Euro backed it off. We’ll see if it comes back.
  17. TimB
    Trend seems to be toward mostly garden variety heat, but I wouldn’t rule out a day or two of big heat (95+) mid to late next week if everything lines up right.
  18. TimB
    The 6z largely keeps the extreme, ridiculous heat out of the east. Verbatim, it would obliterate all-time records in a lot of cities in the middle of the country, by 5+ degrees in some places.
  19. TimB
    The panel from that run that really made an impression on me was the temps at 8am the morning of the second hot day. Yikes.
  20. TimB
    Looks like we’re going to finish June basically average for temps. We’re at +0.2 and today should be roughly normal with a low about a half dozen degrees BN and a high about a half dozen degrees AN, so should stay +0.2.
  21. TimB
    Was looking at records to see if we had a shot at a record low tomorrow morning. We don’t, but interesting to note that that the record low of 47 was set in 1988, along with a low of 46 just two days later. We know what came both before and after those chilly mornings.
  22. TimB
    Official high of 94 today. Let’s hope that stays the hottest day of the summer.
  23. TimB
    And indeed, the 1:30 obs was 91. 3rd 90 of the season.
  24. TimB
    Low at PIT was 46. Record tied.
  25. TimB
    Truly a gorgeous night out there, and a spectacular 3-4 day period ahead.
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