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Everything posted by TimB
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Western Pa / Pittsburgh area Winter Discussion ❄️☃️
TimB replied to north pgh's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I’d settle for dew points in the 40s or even low 50s most days of summer. Then again, I lived in the desert for a few years and I swear I could feel a difference when the dew point started to hit 40 in summer. Speaking of dews, most models shoot them into the mid-upper 50s later this week. Perhaps we can get favorable timing of the late week cold front to get a strong storm or two? -
Central PA - Winter 2020/2021 Part 2
TimB replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Agreed on the PSU hire. I’m a Wisconsin guy myself though PSU runs in my family’s blood as it does for a lot of Pennsylvanians. Glad Wisconsin finally put together a complete game and scored 85 and dismantled UNC in a game that was never really contested. Those kids have been together four years and finally got to experience the joy of winning a tournament game. They’ll get dismantled by Baylor on Sunday but I’m on cloud nine. -
Central PA - Winter 2020/2021 Part 2
TimB replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The trusty GFS cold bias still rolls a couple of storms with snow in the cold sector through the northeast bookending next weekend. -
Central PA - Winter 2020/2021 Part 2
TimB replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
This aged well, though I’ll admit I questioned it after the Big Ten tourney. -
Western Pa / Pittsburgh area Winter Discussion ❄️☃️
TimB replied to north pgh's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
A comprehensive list of all the Pittsburgh years that had less than 0.7” of snow from Feb. 23 until the last measurable snow of spring: 1. 1903* (0.1”) 2. 2021** (0.1”) *observations were not taken at KPIT, would likely have been more than 0.1” if the airport existed at the time **still ongoing, though increasingly likely we’re done -
Western Pa / Pittsburgh area Winter Discussion ❄️☃️
TimB replied to north pgh's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Interestingly, the official total of 2.19” at KPIT yesterday appears to be the highest total in PA reported by the NWS. If only we could get that bullseye during a snowstorm. (Not necessarily saying 2.19”, obviously that would be historic at 10:1 and an all time record at 12:1). -
Western Pa / Pittsburgh area Winter Discussion ❄️☃️
TimB replied to north pgh's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Looks like 1.85” of rain so far at KPIT. 2nd wettest March day on record. Won’t catch 3/6/45 with 2.58”. (Edited 7pm) -
Central PA - Winter 2020/2021 Part 2
TimB replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
It depends on whether that day was in April/October or in July. As a cold fan, a sunny and 67 July day in PA for me would be wonderful. -
Central PA - Winter 2020/2021 Part 2
TimB replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Someone in my home thread put it in this perspective for me: weather will happen and lives will be lost whether we root for it or not. Tornadoes and blizzards are much more fascinating than 70 and sunny. I can’t imagine there are many weather enthusiasts in San Diego. -
Central PA - Winter 2020/2021 Part 2
TimB replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
At the root of it, and to play devil’s advocate, is there really any difference between hoping for a tornado or hurricane vs. hoping for a blizzard/historic cold/record heat wave/etc.? Lives are lost in all of the above. I would argue that all events where someone dies are tragic. Some (not necessarily me, unless we’re talking about massive devastation where people lose everything and not just something like burst pipes or a flooded basement or needing a new roof) might even argue that all events where anyone’s property is damaged, even if no one is hurt or killed, are tragic. -
Central PA - Winter 2020/2021 Part 2
TimB replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Believe me, I understand that job and many others can’t be done from home! Thank you for the essential services you provide to our society. -
Central PA - Winter 2020/2021 Part 2
TimB replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I’m all for a happy medium. I have absolutely no interest in going to the office more than 3 days a week ever again in my life (preferably 2), but not 0. Guess I didn’t articulate that when I said I wanted to wfh “forever.” -
Central PA - Winter 2020/2021 Part 2
TimB replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Pre-pandemic, this was definitely a consideration for me. As long as I’m wfh (hopefully forever as far as I’m concerned, but probably not), it’s a lot easier to root for crippling blizzards, severe weather, wind storms, etc...anything that has the potential to eff up a commute. But even if I’m ever back to the office, I imagine there will be more societal flexibility toward wfh when weather conditions suck (employers know many of us prefer it and are going to have a hell of time getting us to come back), so maybe I can still root for these things without worrying about my commute. (And yes, I’d still be sneaking the occasional post on weather forums in the office, so no judgment!) -
Would think the idea of the SPC upgrading any part of the Carolinas to a high risk tomorrow, especially in light of what transpired today, would be a very poor decision.
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Central PA - Winter 2020/2021 Part 2
TimB replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Unfortunately, it appears we now have a PDS warning for Tuscaloosa. -
Central PA - Winter 2020/2021 Part 2
TimB replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Haunting images for sure. Speaking of which, satellite seems to show partial to full clearing over central MS at the moment. Can’t be good. -
Central PA - Winter 2020/2021 Part 2
TimB replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Those that are more “in the know” than I am seem to be saying this won’t be another 4/27/11, but I’m sure people in those areas didn’t wake up that morning with any idea of just how bad that day would be. -
Central PA - Winter 2020/2021 Part 2
TimB replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
It’s definitely a concern. But for those that don’t want to see a tornado outbreak in those areas today, the last high risk day (5/20/2019) included a maxed out PDS watch and turned out to be a relatively minor event and no one died. -
Central PA - Winter 2020/2021 Part 2
TimB replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I’ll bet some of that large moderate risk area gets upgraded to high with the 6z D1 outlook tonight. -
Western Pa / Pittsburgh area Winter Discussion ❄️☃️
TimB replied to north pgh's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I think .1” is the most likely total we end up with for March. With that being said, it depends on how you grade a winter. Do you look at it as a whole, or do you look at individual months in addition to that whole? I would say I do the latter (and I count all months that average an appreciable amount of snow - Dec. through March), in which December was unquestionably an A+, January was a solid B, February was probably an A, and I would have to say March would unquestionably be an F if it ends at the total we have now. I don’t think I weight March as heavily as the other three, so it only drags an A/A- winter down to a B/B+ in my mind, but it’s hard for me to give a 55” winter an A on the whole, even without looking at individual months, considering we do better than 55” about 20% of the time. -
Western Pa / Pittsburgh area Winter Discussion ❄️☃️
TimB replied to north pgh's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
That’s fair. Of course a good winter helps to make up for a low March snow total, but one caveat: a winter with 55 inches or more of snow is much more common than a March with 0.1 inches or less. In fact, if the 0.1” total holds, it will be something that has never been experienced by any Pittsburgher under the age of 75 (which of course means never at KPIT). Hardly “the way it goes” unless you’re an octogenarian. -
Western Pa / Pittsburgh area Winter Discussion ❄️☃️
TimB replied to north pgh's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Compare that to this March, where if the models are correct, we have a very good shot at finishing the month with only the fluke 0.1” we recorded on the 1st. -
Central PA - Winter 2020/2021 Part 2
TimB replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
That’s my Buccos, putting up a 10-spot in the top of the first and still finding a way to lose! -
Central PA - Winter 2020/2021 Part 2
TimB replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I would guess that’s a fair assumption. I certainly deem myself to be a “regular person.” On a weather forum I’m a weather enthusiast first and have no desire to engage in political debate. (I don’t think the one main “political” issue related to weather is really a political issue, it’s a scientific one.) -
Central PA - Winter 2020/2021 Part 2
TimB replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
At the end of the day, it’s a weather forum. I understand banter, but maybe not divisive topics? As a lifelong weather enthusiast who is very new to discussing it on forums, it does raise my curiosity - does the weather enthusiast community lean one way or the other politically or is it mixed?
