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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. Also brings to mind the time a 16th seeded UMBC squad won by 20 against a top overall seed, can’t remember who.
  2. I happened to see it at some point. Reminds me of the 2004 loss to Puerto Rico in the Olympics.
  3. The Swanson School of Engineering Pitt Campus team would probably give the actual Pitt basketball team all they could handle these days.
  4. That’s what I’m thinking. Why should we care that it was hot at MDT in June if it was hotter in 1943?
  5. Meh, top 3 months happen at least once a year these days, it’s nothing noteworthy. /s
  6. Also newspapers being obsolete and stuff. And the elephant in the room, the thing that dominated the news cycle for several years before covid and still kind of does.
  7. And at the end of the day, we’re experiencing a relatively typical (by 21st century standards) summer. Does it really have any effect on me or anyone I know, other than the handful of friends and relatives I have in Portland (all are alive and well), that they broke an all time record high by 9 degrees? Does it have an effect on me that Death Valley just recorded the highest reliably measured temperature on earth and the warmest low ever observed in the US this past weekend? What personally changed in my life when I heard that massive numbers of people in Michigan died of covid while I was sitting on my couch? But just because it doesn’t affect me doesn’t mean it doesn’t matter to me. Many people don’t care about a thing in the world unless it affects them. But to your point, we only know about a lot of this stuff because we take the time to read about it. Some people don’t.
  8. I think Pillow and Paw Paw might have both been experiencing warned storms at the same time yesterday.
  9. Definitely not Palouse/Pacific Northwest in general levels. Usually the ridge sits in a location where the Dakotas get the brunt of the heat, but their state records are 120 and 121 and very difficult to break. In some runs, the ridge axis sits slightly farther east where the MN record of 115 could be threatened somewhere in the western part of the state, and even a few where MSP’s all timer of 108 could be threatened. But that’s the thing, that region has also had a bout with extreme heat this summer, but it was in early June so it wasn’t all time records being threatened. Seems like the pattern this summer is for the extreme, all time record heat to just bounce back and forth between the southwest, Pacific Northwest, and north central states and largely skip the rest of the country. Not so coincidentally, these are the areas most affected by drought.
  10. I saw that. The GFS has been very consistent that the north central US and adjacent portions of Canada get extremely hot (approaching all time record levels in some instances), but most runs don’t translate that ridge east. At least not anything beyond garden variety heat.
  11. Well the next several days don’t sound like your kind of days (but they ain’t mine, either).
  12. 108.7 at Qurayyat, Oman on 6/25/2018 is listed as the “highest minimum temperature for a 24 hour period and calendar day. There’s also a “highest overnight low” of 111.6 at Khasab, Oman on 6/17/2017, which I assume means they dropped below the 108.7 before midnight. Note that these also both occurred within the last 5 years. Anyone who thinks there isn’t an issue is clinically insane.
  13. Good lord, yinz had quite the day yesterday. Hope all are safe and well.
  14. Definitely agree on this one. I’ve had this hunch for awhile now.
  15. @Bubbler86 Deep into GFS fantasy land, a nightmare emerges.
  16. I’m not prematurely declaring victory. Still a lot of July to go and when it’s all said and done you probably have a good shot at getting your positive July temperature departure for the 7th year in a row.
  17. Not sure where to put this, but Death Valley hit 130 yesterday, making it two years in a row of reaching possibly the hottest temperature credibly recorded on earth.
  18. No complaints here. Of course there will be some heat at some point, but I really feel if PIT never sees 95 (or MDT never sees 100), we dodged a bullet the way this summer is going elsewhere in the nation. And living in the present and not fantasy land, my DP is in the 50s and will likely remain there all day. Official low at the airport was 54 and weather stations near me went to ~52-53. Good shot at my 6th day this month with a high in the 70s after seeing none last July. Life is good.
  19. I’m usually on top of these ridiculous statistical anomalies, but today I learned that they recorded a low of 107 there on 7/12/2012.
  20. Indeed, it seems to like to produce the most extreme scenarios in the long term, and that’s a feat even by GFS standards.
  21. The dreaded 18z GFS did some 18z GFS things again.
  22. Here’s something to take seriously: today is the 19th day of (astronomical) summer. That means we’re already over 10% of the way to the winter solstice.
  23. A spectacular afternoon/evening with another incredible day on tap tomorrow. More of those bonus days that were so sorely missed last July.
  24. Oh the QPF panels aren’t great for me either (but I guess 2” in 16 days is pretty normal for July, and I don’t think anyone out here is thinking drought anytime soon), but I do get a lot of days with bearable temps and DPs in the 50s from that run and I think you do too. Even if other people get some even cooler days, any day with a dewpoint below 60 in July is a win in my book.
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