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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. TimB
    I feel like 6 degrees is a lot to miss the mark by, except in the obvious situations where there is uncertainty as to where a front will set up, or the amount of cloud cover is way over or underdone (not after a decisive frontal passage where the cold front is several states south).
  2. TimB
    Forecast of 74 here today. It has reached 80.
  3. TimB
    How bad was the point and click on your high temperature? I feel like the NWS point and click forecasts struggle badly with the highs in a dry, post-frontal environment and almost always overperform, sometimes significantly. Trying to determine if it’s a Pittsburgh thing or an everywhere thing.
  4. TimB
    Seems we nearly always overperform on these days following a summer cold front, but rarely by a whole 6 degrees. Point & click at PIT is for a high of 74 today, but lo and behold, it’s currently 80: Edit: still clinched our below normal July for the first time in 7 years.
  5. TimB
    Until I get bold and post some Pens-Caps highlights from just about any year but 2018 in there (no offense).
  6. TimB
    I thought I recently read them complaining about how the pavement at BWI artificially inflates temps way too much. And don’t they also regularly whine about DCA’s snow measurement techniques?
  7. TimB
    LOL.
  8. TimB
    By then the basketball team will have possibly fallen short of a gold medal, I’ll have clogged up the MA forum with observations from the vacation spot they stole from Pittsburgh, the baseball trade deadline will have passed, and maybe Dwayne Haskins will have seen his first preseason action as a Steeler.
  9. TimB
    Yeah, that gets ugly. Doesn’t translate to anything extreme, but a prolonged period of garden variety heat is just as bad.
  10. TimB
    Maybe those are the thugs @candersonmentioned yesterday.
  11. TimB
    You can almost see the relief from the cold front:
  12. TimB
    Hmm, it doesn’t say if someone was in the port-a-potty at the time.
  13. TimB
    Ah, good old Nanty Glo, metropolis of the Route 22 corridor. My grandparents lived in Altoona so I used to go through that area regularly on my way there.
  14. TimB
    The more pertinent question is, does MDT actually get into the 50s for the first time this July?
  15. TimB
    They beat up on Iran the other day, they’re fine. /s
  16. TimB
    Yeah, it does look like maybe it stopped a split second before the power went out.
  17. TimB
    I think I heard 5 injuries but no deaths that I’m aware of, so a small silver lining.
  18. TimB
    Nothing big today in the immediate Pittsburgh area for anyone who wanted it, but there are some spectacular days/nights ahead. Been looking forward to the 5-7 day stretch starting tomorrow since it first showed up on the models.
  19. TimB
    “Bust” might be harsh. Yeah, central PA was highlighted early as a possible epicenter, so they got the location wrong, but the storm reports map isn’t all that dead:
  20. TimB
    It seems to have a little more staying power than it did a few days ago, but the 18z also has consecutive days where MDT is at a (rain induced) 68 and 63 in the middle of the afternoon (though the two days before that are hot).
  21. TimB
    There’s fantasy heat but it’s nothing extreme (for me).
  22. TimB
    Looking ahead, after a few torchy runs, heat is back to being relegated to deep GFS fantasyland as of 12z and 18z. No serious ridging until late and the other models are pretty troughy.
  23. TimB
    All is always grand in Pillow.
  24. TimB
    2 tornado warnings in eastern Ohio. Both storms will likely pass south of Pittsburgh which is fine by me, but I’ll bet somewhere in western PA (just not Pittsburgh) gets a stronger storm.
  25. TimB
    20z cut back the ENH significantly:
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