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mannynyc

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Everything posted by mannynyc

  1. Hard to get excited about the OP GFS when both storms are outliers in their own ensembles.
  2. Suppression could be helpful here in getting us cold air. GEFS likes the low far off shore.
  3. Can't say I'm a huge fan of the ensemble look but would rather at least have a coastal signal.
  4. January 7th-8th is also an interesting timeframe to watch
  5. Total wishcast but don't hate this look from the GEFS.
  6. It's worse than that. For some folks it's not a pattern change unless we get a massive coastal storm.
  7. Well at least we have 300+ hour fantasies
  8. People forget that last winter was so bad we weren't even getting 300 hour fantasy blizzards from the GFS
  9. I mean the coastal low is there, but so is the rain...
  10. Not a great look on the GEFS ensembles but it's better than tracking nothing
  11. Doesn't need to be a big piece storm to end NYC's snow drought. A well placed piece of energy can give us 1-2 inches and remove the lid.
  12. Obviously not great but a 1-3 degree F anomaly doesn't mean it can't or won't snow, though it certainly will be harder. This shouldn't be used as a declaration of winter being over.
  13. It's May 12th and I'm already ready for Winter. Good grief
  14. And that's why I spend my summers in Maine
  15. Yup, there was still some light snow at 7:30PM/8PM tonight
  16. Obviously disappointing we didn't get a significant snowfall in NYC, not that one was expected, but walking outside with the snow falling this evening really reminded me why I loved winter. There was something about walking through the snowfall and seeing it gleam in the light that made me really happy.
  17. Radar is filling in nicely. Best chance for accumulating snow, especially outside NYC, the next few hours.
  18. The GFS has been in and out for a perfect coastal storm for this time period. Would like more ensemble support but this is still in a reasonable window.
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