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mannynyc

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Everything posted by mannynyc

  1. mannynyc
    Not to beat a dead horse but the 18z HRRR does appear to be coming in colder
  2. mannynyc
    For the city I really don't think much has changed. The storm will start as heavy snow and then transition to rain at some point. Based on temps it will be very hard for snow to accumulate even if its super heavy.
  3. mannynyc
    GEFS
  4. mannynyc
    GEFS
  5. mannynyc
    does seem slightly colder though
  6. mannynyc
    18z GFS weaker and east
  7. mannynyc
    Yes but it's not a very significant change
  8. mannynyc
    Obviously the Nam is out to lunch but the general trend of the powerful second wave is a great one. Hopefully this continues.
  9. mannynyc
    EPS members
  10. mannynyc
    Definitely like this trend from the EPS 0z 12z
  11. mannynyc
    From your mouth to Gods ears
  12. mannynyc
    Euro similar to the GFS. West and stronger, gets NYC snow.
  13. mannynyc
    GEFS
  14. mannynyc
    GFS strengthens way west compared to 6z and that allows some banding to reach the city. Interesting
  15. mannynyc
    I agree, mood flakes at the very best. Not enough energy left for those areas to see a heavy snow that might accumulate.
  16. mannynyc
    GEFS
  17. mannynyc
    GEFS
  18. mannynyc
    I think the low is too far west for the coast. Unless it's a super strong Low at marginal temps that placements not snow
  19. mannynyc
    Canadien got way weaker
  20. mannynyc
    Interesting GFS run, starts warmer but seems to end stronger and east.
  21. mannynyc
    GEFS
  22. mannynyc
    GFS also appears colder
  23. mannynyc
    Looks like it got colder too
  24. mannynyc
    Wouldn't look to much into the end of these mesoscale models.
  25. mannynyc
    For NYC this could come down to a nowcast. A few degree difference in surface temps or a 50 mile difference in location of the low will have huge effects on the snow falling. Mesoscale models in a few days will be helpful but there would need to be substantial differences in the model runs to change this reality, imo.
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