mannynyc
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Everything posted by mannynyc
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12z GFS appears to have moved slightly north, but not a significant change
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Central Park officially measured 0.9 inches of snow at 12AM last night. 1.3 inches for the season. It snowed since then so that number should increase. https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/p.php?pil=CLINYC&e=202302280621
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Looking good for all Snow in Central Park when they measure at 1AM. Side streets in Manhattan and even some sidewalks are starting to get covered.
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Rain/Snow line continues to inch north, but the radar is starting to fill in again
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Latest Central Park OBS 33/31 0.11inch of precip https://w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KNYC.html
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Looks like one more band to come through NYC before a lull. Mixing line sneaking north.
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Latest OBS from Central Park 34/29 0.03in of precip https://w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KNYC.html
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Grass beginning to be covered in Manhattan. Officially our second biggest snowfall of the year
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Snowing in midtown!
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40/17 per the 5PM obs at Central Park
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Models, especially the GFS, are essentially useless at this point. Radar seems to look more like the HRRR than the NAM,
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8 inches of snow forecasted is generally when they start calling school in the City. Not happening here.
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There will likely be a significant difference in what falls in Co-Op City and Coney Island. This is one of those events where it really depends on where banding sets up. Super hard for models to accurately pinpoint.
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There was no snow in Central Park in December. The snow missed Manhattan north and south.
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The HRRR has flipped every other run. Very odd.
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GFS is north for Wednesday. Now gives the city a whole half inch
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A nice burst of snow in Manhattan right now. A little stickage on umbrella’s means that this is our biggest snowfall of the season.
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For the record, I'm in lower manhattan and we got nothing that day.
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I was at Mountain Creek yesterday and conditions were bad, good amount of people though. Lots of slush.
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GEFS ensembles don't look terrible for a snow chance Wednesday. i don't think it's right to write this one off.
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The GEFS has trended north, with most ensembles showing a period of snow on Wednesday. Temperatures would likely be cool enough to break our snowless streak in Central Park.
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Similar on 18z
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GEFS ensembles do show a shot for snow Wednesday.
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The NAM is drunk again.
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I’m not as optimistic as you are. Ensembles aren’t as optimistic as I would like. There is some support, and the next 10 days are definitely our best opportunity.
