mannynyc
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Everything posted by mannynyc
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Looking at the GEFS ensembles. It seems we still have a chance for some kind of overunning/backend or even a light to moderate snow event between January 31st and February 3rd. February 1st: February 2nd: February 3rd:
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0z GFS is still a miss but is slightly farther north than 18z GFS for January 31st.
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Not a bad look for January 31st/February 1st from the 12z GEFS ensembles.
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Totally agree. We have three shots in February (1st, 3rd and 6th). If we don’t get it then we can seriously start talking about a snowless winter.
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Snow/rain mix in Woodside, Queens.
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Just two days ago he was complaining about the GFS caving to the Euro. I had to point out to him that it was actually showing more snow. It definitely wasn't accuracy.
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Totally agree. 20 miles is the difference. Someone in this thread is going to get surprised tomorrow with some nice front end snow.
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0z NAM looks to be slightly south with snow. Still doesn’t snow in the city.
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I’m not hopeful we will get measurable snow tomorrow but I’m not as pessimistic as some people. There will be cold air in place, and a change in just 20 miles could be the difference between snow and rain. This is not a situation where snow is missing us 100 miles north, Also, it’s just more fun to be optimistic.
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That's the same depth as 18z. There is no cave.
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0z GFS essentially unchanged. Still showing snow in the city
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Temps for snow on RGEM. Looks lower than 37.
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Long range HRRR is notoriously unreliable. (As you implied)
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Totally drunk
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Agree on the NAM but I don't think the Euro was terrible. It never had significant accumulation for our subforum today.
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Euro low is more north and east compared to yesterday, moving best front end dynamics north and east.
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Can’t go wrong with a good cartopper at this point
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All this drama about Wednesday, watch Central Park get 1/4 of an inch this afternoon.
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GFS appears to be slightly colder for Wednesday.
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But it is farther west
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Looks like a better pattern with more cold air for that time frame. Before 1/26 was always a thread-the-needle threat.
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We can’t snow until you see a Zebra
