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SnowenOutThere

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Everything posted by SnowenOutThere

  1. SnowenOutThere
    My main issue is when a long range thread for the month of February and then it has over 140 replies by February, it just seems cleaner to have a thread for each month and then start a new one on the 1st of the next month.
  2. SnowenOutThere
    Thank you for the new thread, for this month could we stick to just this thread for long range instead of someone making a March/end of February one that is nearly unusable by March.
  3. SnowenOutThere
    I think the Euro folded more the GFS than the gfs folded to the Euro for this storm.
  4. SnowenOutThere
    Very foggy outside right now
  5. SnowenOutThere
    Even without significant precip with cold temps we would still most likely see a flash freeze on most wet surfaces due to the crashing temperatures. Looks to be disruptive with or without precip.
  6. SnowenOutThere
    You did lead the way with the Friday event so far, so you don't want to ruin your current track record which means that this Sunday threat must be credible.
  7. SnowenOutThere
    Euro kneels to the king but does not collapse, lets hope it fully pays service to the GFS for the Sunday storm
  8. SnowenOutThere
    CMC is slightly slower with the cold push
  9. SnowenOutThere
    Holy crap, look at those rates
  10. SnowenOutThere
    I like the weekend storm on the GFS
  11. SnowenOutThere
    Really reduces the QDF with the second push of precip, which is probably the main issue.
  12. SnowenOutThere
    The FV3 looks pretty similar with the cold push at hour 60 to the GFS, unfortunately it is the FV3
  13. SnowenOutThere
    Slightly better than 6z in multiple respects, gets the cold here a tiny bit quicker and the moisture stays a bit longer giving us a slight period of frozen precip at the end.
  14. SnowenOutThere
    A lot out news outlets have been advertising a warm up to the 50s and 60s later this week, if the NAM is right that forecast would look quite bad
  15. SnowenOutThere
    NAM 3k is lock step with the gfs at the end of its run
  16. SnowenOutThere
    Well if you are, could we get a pbp?
  17. SnowenOutThere
    This storm definitely is a good test for the new GFS, seeing it go up against the other globals and even have two runs back to back with an significant ice storm while the others show nothing definitely puts it at odds with the majority for now. So I guess we will see if the GFS is sniffing out a trend or just sniffing glue.
  18. SnowenOutThere
    Only 8 have rain instead of frozen, pretty decent odds on the gefs.
  19. SnowenOutThere
    GFS has another storm right after
  20. SnowenOutThere
    Tends to happen, it has me get .6 inches of ice in 6 hours during the heavy precip which seems wrong, so that amount should not really be counted. After the precip becomes lighter and the temps drop is the more concerning period for me, and gives me around .3 to .4 more ice. So even discounting the heavy ice in the 30s it would still be quite the event.
  21. SnowenOutThere
    GFS gives me 9/10ths of an inch of ice, would be a devastating ice event if that happens. Heck even half of that amount would be a huge ice storm.
  22. SnowenOutThere
    Yikes, if this is even close to correct it would be a mess
  23. SnowenOutThere
    As long as it holds steady the threat is still there. Helps us make sure its not a burp run and lets us see if the on run Euro and CMC show it
  24. SnowenOutThere
  25. SnowenOutThere
    GFS is sorta a weenie run with how we get two ice storms in three days this weekend and then a sustained cold pattern with chances for snow.
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