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SnowenOutThere

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Everything posted by SnowenOutThere

  1. SnowenOutThere
    Been trying to nap since 7:30 but caved and checked the forum to see the what the high res models where showing, seems like everything is still looking great. Hopefully will be able to fall asleep some till it starts snowing
  2. SnowenOutThere
    30.9 degrees and thickening clouds
  3. SnowenOutThere
    Does any met want to chime in on if thundersnow could even be a possibility for anyone in the forum? I know Kansas City and some other places have had some with this storm so far
  4. SnowenOutThere
    Well we at least get one more run of HRRR going crazy with foot plus totals
  5. SnowenOutThere
    Turns out this was pretty much all of us
  6. SnowenOutThere
    Can't wait for the stuff over Ohio if it can make it to us
  7. SnowenOutThere
    The wraparound stuff should still be decent (if not better) than the 18z runs
  8. SnowenOutThere
    It gets rid of the sleet that has been plaguing NOVA at 12z Monday
  9. SnowenOutThere
    18z top 0z precip through hour 30
  10. SnowenOutThere
    Nam def will be south, may be not great for the northern crew which has been hugging it but still early in its run.
  11. SnowenOutThere
    NAM seems slightly south with the primary, but its extremely early in its run
  12. SnowenOutThere
    It actually shifted a bit north from 12z, it just cut off most of the storm then
  13. SnowenOutThere
    RAP (fwiw) seems wetter and has a wide swath of foot 12+
  14. SnowenOutThere
    This is pretty much the state of the storm right now. (@stormtracker if this needs to be moved to banter)
  15. SnowenOutThere
    I got you, give me a second to make a meme
  16. SnowenOutThere
    Coastal should be done by now
  17. SnowenOutThere
    The vort weakens more than the 12z run which probably explains why its both colder and worse with the coastal. Result is a smidge colder and an asshair drier (for around DC at least)
  18. SnowenOutThere
    GFS is out and running. No real change through hour 18 besides maybe a bit more confluence and a tinny bit stronger low
  19. SnowenOutThere
    When do you think we could have a good handle on the vort pass and backend snow situation? It seems that the models that are the best with the WAA for my area sorta miss with the backend and vise versa. Want to make an updated forecast for my friends and family but am waiting for more agreement on that last part, and thanks for the post!
  20. SnowenOutThere
    Since you’re giving out snowfall ranges for various places do you think the Ashburn/Reston area should be in a solid 6-10 range? Seems like at this point the WAA should get us well and if we’re lucky with the coastal we could her higher end amounts
  21. SnowenOutThere
    either way it still gets us to 7ish inches by the end of its run with at least 2-6 more with the coastal fluff so not even a bad run verbatim, but is a little worrying if it nudges any further north
  22. SnowenOutThere
    I know its the NAMs at range but should NOVA be worried about the weird dry slot it shows with the WAA?
  23. SnowenOutThere
    As someone who is that age I don’t remember anything much before 2016 besides glimpses of storms. I vaguely remember the 2016 blizzard but wish I could recall more about it. The Monday system may be the first time I can truly remember getting 10+ inches of snow (ig Jan 2019 counts too but yk what I mean)
  24. SnowenOutThere
    Fwiw NAM 3k is slightly colder than the 12z upstairs
  25. SnowenOutThere
    Seems to have a more expansive dry slot which isn’t great
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