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SnowenOutThere

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Everything posted by SnowenOutThere

  1. Considering I don't remember a snowy December I would be fine with being a bit busy weather wise this month.
  2. Did you pay them off because that does look very close to what you said could happen.
  3. I mean the 12z CFS from yesterday gives me 30 inches of snow throughout December so I'll take it, in fact, it even has your December 13th snowstorm.
  4. 0z Euro shows a southern slider solution for the 10th at the end of its run, it’s fun seeing cold and snow for the long range forecast instead of a torch.
  5. Did you really just have to diss your whole generation and those younger than you? What did that add to the post, just say that you should have moved on.
  6. Could you imagine the complaining about getting fringed if the 6z was right
  7. 12z GFS looks a bit more like the Euro ones.
  8. I think there are three distinct camps beginning to form, the first one is like the 18z GFS which has a very far north low pressure system with no high to pump cold into the northeast. Second camp has the energy forming a costal with blocking in place, like the 12z GFS. Finally the last camp is like the 12z Euro that holds the energy back in the southwest.
  9. The GFS is far more similar to the 0z run but the low is slightly too far west. However, the high stays entrenched in Canada the whole storm making it very close, especially for November.
  10. Thought it looked off compared to the other globals, snow is snow though.
  11. 0z Euro gives everyone a solid 2-4 inches of snow Black Friday. 0z Canadian has some ice then rain and 0z GFS gets close to a mixed event.
  12. Thought it might be that so wanted to see if it was, thanks for the update.
  13. On pivotal the new GFS ensembles has DC at an inch of snow. Maybe at @CAPE can post the individual panels? It has trended more snowy from last night, then again it's over 200 hours out.
  14. Don't tell Maestrobjwa. I've been learning more about pattern and more technical stuff this season with these early storm possibilities. I mean with a -NAO and 50-50 low shouldn't that allow the pattern to slow down and give us some blocking which helps storms not run out to sea. Would that mean the main concern would be not enough cold air in place because of climo and a not great PAC pattern?
  15. Lots of spread on if there will even be a storm but the general pattern looks interesting on the ensembles. Would be fun to be able to track something this early.
  16. There is no way a met should post an outlook that has such low snowfall totals. Not only are you banking on the pattern being a dumpster fire the whole winter but also there being no lucky storms that thread the needle. This year it also looks like we will have a good pattern for December and with totals that low you only need one 6+ storm and your forecast is out.
  17. Would this give the pattern above extra staying power allowing it to last from sometime in early December into early January?
  18. https://giphy.com/gifs/giphyqa-zk0zTXQY5ukCs
  19. That’s my main concern, with a crazy -epo I think suppression is the main villain of the story.
  20. Right on the boundary, sorta feels like it might be a repeat of what happened to the midweek wave. Still interesting to see it show up
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