Ephesians2
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A foot of sleet would be pretty cool. Freezing rain, no thanks.
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Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion
Ephesians2 replied to RIC Airport's topic in Mid Atlantic
Congrats guys! -
Finally getting the high ratios some models advertised. Returns have been pretty light, but could have easily picked up an extra half inch or a bit more in the past two hours. It's very pretty, fluffy light snow. It has been snowing, albeit fairly lightly at times, for almost 14 hours now.
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Pixie dust here as well. I wonder if this precip ends up making it east. The models seem to say some of it does but if not most of Central VA is probably close to all done
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Measured in three places -one 3.5, one 3.75, and one just under 4 (below) Going to call it 3.7" at 2:15 in Lynchburg VA
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Rates starting to pick up. Measured 1.75" just now. Thus far it has been a pretty wet snow.
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latest HRRR - still a bit more for RIC and east at this point:
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currently in my windowless office but view from my backyard now:
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This is so much of a moister atmosphere when compared to friday. This is all steady, accumulating snow
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Light snow with pretty small flakes. Sticking to all grassy services now, sidewalk just in the beginning stages of caving
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light coating on grassy/elevated surfaces. Steady but pretty light snow with tiny flakes. 33 degrees now - had a weird temp spike just before sunrise but it has come down since then.
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From Blacksburg AFD: 00z RAOB still indicates a shallow warm layer just above the surface and below 850mb, which would indicate a brief period of rain occurs at the onset of the precipitation. Any rain should be brief as indicated by the wet bulb temperature, which supports all snow once the column completely saturates. Looks like this was expected. We should be fine.
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First flakes (although very light and might have had a brief period of drizzle first) No hours of virga this time.
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Probably too late to matter but Euro is a hold, maybe even a bit wetter than 18z. Don't have Kuchera but:
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Yep, not as much as last night but some accretion on elevated surfaces here. Sitting at 29, 3 degrees colder than NWS hourly forecast
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WSWs just dropped for VA from Roanoke to RIC
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0z HRRR - a bit of an increase overall from 18z but like the NAM and 3k especially in the south side of the RIC metro
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3k NAM is lighter with precip but still a step up from 18z.
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Also, we have to give the ICON a lot of credit on this one. There were a few runs a couple days ago where it was the ONLY model showing accumulating snow.
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Central VA generally doesn't do well with anything other than an already developed low moving into cold air. For example, the second Feb 2010 storm was either a total whiff or a light event here. That's why I'd, based on pure semi-educated guess, lean towards a lower total. The precip has to develop mostly over us due to the coastal/ULL. I'd love to be proven wrong though lol
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00z NAM is going to absolutely pummel RIC especially south side of RIC metro. It also keeps precip around for longer
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That's awful. I really don't have the words to say, except that our family will be praying for your wife and yourself as well.
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Local Lynchburg meteorologists as well as the Blacksburg NWS are staying pretty conservative (all are saying 1-3). Interestingly Richmond meteorologists and the Wakefield NWS have higher totals which leads to the weird cutoff with watches versus advisories and in the NWS snow maps. Of course a 1-3" deal still could happen and honestly its my gut feeling, but if the Euro is right, a lot of people will be very surprised tomorrow and there could be quite a mess in Lynchburg/Roanoke.
