Forecasting down here the past 2 seasons has been quite easy....look at all of the clown maps, 12 hrs to first flakes, take the lowest number and it will most likely be correct....call it what it is, but it has been right way more than anything else. if the forecast is 3-5, the hrrr/Euro/etc, what ever is the lowest, say 1.5", it will be around 1.5". Just our luck down here....I remember when we actually had positive busts down here, now its earlier changeovers, dryslots, late phases, lbsw, air was too dry to start, the atmosphere seems to have many reasons, LOL. Looks like Friday might have multiple reasons why, here the biggest looks to be dry air. At some point, something has to go in the snowier direction and flip the switch.
24.4° at 1:15 in the afternoon should secure our first sub 20 degree high for this winter season, low dipped to 6.3° right before the sun peaked over the ridge this morning. I suspect if we can get the winds to go calm tonight or this weekend, we should be able to go below zero....
Our 1.5" of snow/sleet/Frz rain is actually disappearing on the south facing hills this afternoon, not bad considering the low temps....