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Spanks45

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Everything posted by Spanks45

  1. Looks like a squall line coming through eastern PA right now....
  2. There are a few south of Long island on Monday, seems like something redevelops and then moves northeast Monday into Tuesday. Sunday is just some light snow south of the pike.
  3. I feel like there were more than a couple of the EPS members that actually have accumulating snow Monday into Tuesday. I would assume that they were also seeing this as a possibility.
  4. At least that EURO run gets me some flakes/virga. That wasn't anywhere near me on 0z run. I really hope this weekend's storm lining up perfectly with "the streak" isn't a sign of whats to come. It could make for a rough second half....
  5. There goes the 18z GFS getting ready to squash this thing to the south...confluence to the north stronger and further southwest....
  6. I know mother nature doesn't care, but it has been a ton of bad luck since November 15th one would think the law of average says something finally breaks the right way....
  7. What a waste of cold air....27 for the high, already down to 25 and it will be 45 tomorrow and light rain...great stuff
  8. now the fear of suppression starts....
  9. Yesterday's 12z eps had one member that gave our region 30-40" of snow through 15 days and that was with next weekend missing, there was 2 big ones, one right after another....good signs at least.
  10. Is that the beginning of the pattern change I see on the EPS now within the 10 day window?
  11. and at the surface it is worse. more snow for North Carolina though, good for them...
  12. I would concur, looks better at this point...maybe a little GFSish? Last night still gave us southerners down here some snow.
  13. Snowing at 138 hours on the GFS, looks good so far.....Great high to the north
  14. This is setting up the classic GFS has it, EURO sort of but not what we want. Just enough to keep us excited then an 18z run of the GFS loses it completely, leaving us all jumping off cliffs over an 18z run of the GFS....
  15. Seeing next weekend show up on most models from time to time, the ensembles have it in one form or another, seems to give you the feeling that something might actually be coming. Details obviously are very foggy and will be for sometime....
  16. Since I moved up here in late 2014, this has been the case....
  17. GFS progressive bias should put this somewhere south of long Island to Cleveland by that time...
  18. Ugh, 981 at the benchmark...don't really want to see it there 6.5 days out, congrats someone else...
  19. The northern stream showed up this run, looks like she wants to play....
  20. The 12z EPS looked like a nice building PNA, not so much in the EPO region...
  21. Just saw that too, is there anything wrong with that look? Looks like the weeklies, yes?
  22. I thought that as well, but always assumed graupel was white in nature. These were small ice pellets...
  23. Had that squall go through, heavy rain to sleet? Almost looked like small hail? Any thought?
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