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Spanks45

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  1. Spanks45
    Either we are completely ruined from this winter or we do actually know how this works in our area. But, almost every piece of guidance has 12-18 inches for us. The old me would be dancing in the streets. Yet here we are less than 90 hrs out, I don't believe a single one of them. I get it, clown maps are just those clowns, but I am realistically expecting some slush, maybe lucky with a couple inches. Even the new RGEM has 16 inches around here....
  2. Spanks45
    I like calling it realistic concern, some call it red flags. This season has had way too much of it. I agree that i have come off as a worrier this year, but most of those concerns have been valid this year. Hoping this one proves me wrong..... Sorry for your loss, definitely puts weather aside and makes you realize the important things in life. Hopefully you can get your blizzard to help take your mind off things, even for just a little bit.
  3. Spanks45
    Couple hundred feet made a huge difference here....view from my window at roughly 470ft versus 200ish here
  4. Spanks45
    Certainly, different beast for sure. We are going to need those rates and hopefully some nighttime snowfall to aid in maximizing snowfall accumulations.
  5. Spanks45
    If last night was a preview of what is coming early next week with regards to lack of cold air, then elevation will be key. Obviously intensity will aid in some of the cooling and i am sure everyone will see some flakes. Here, during heavier echos I dipped to 32.4⁰, lighter echos bounced me right back up to 33.5⁰. Classic March snowfall, unless of course there is cold air around.
  6. Spanks45
    Just looked outside....can still see grass in spots and can hear the water running through the rainspout. Temp 33.6⁰ with some light rain/snow mix. Maybe an inch? I can see snow on the trees,up on the hill.
  7. Spanks45
    Fingers crossed, at least we flipped it finally, even here in a valley. How are things out there? Has to be close
  8. Spanks45
    33.6⁰ and all snow here...coating on all grassy surfaces, now we need some heavy bands to show up
  9. Spanks45
    Sort of reminds me of the 18z Euro Control...
  10. Spanks45
    Definitely some parachutes mixed in now, temp continues to drop slow and steady 37.0⁰, 0.15" of rain so far
  11. Spanks45
    Any flakes mixing in yet?
  12. Spanks45
    0.09" in the bucket so far, still have some time, but the nowcast look of this seems like there won't be much other than some slush
  13. Spanks45
    The new Nam looks more realistic now. 3-5" in Litchfield County, 1-3 for most, south of there....
  14. Spanks45
    It's trying....temp keeps dropping as the heavier precip comes in, down to 38.7⁰ here at 200'. Still not expecting much, even when it changes over. On top of the hill at 800ish, different story
  15. Spanks45
    Pounding raindrops out there atm....40⁰/34⁰ Not sure what to expect at this point
  16. Spanks45
    Roasting @ 47°/30°, elevation 200'....going to expect a slushy inch or 2 tomorrow morning. Up on the hill, probably 5 or 6 inches
  17. Spanks45
    Even leaves some room for eastern ticks.....will be interesting to watch unfold at least, hopefully with us shoveling. Question is.....does this thing just keep pushing NW as we get closer and ends up slamming into the HV?
  18. Spanks45
    watching this storm for Saturday trend north and east each model cycle, makes me wonder if this storm does the same thing? QPF jacks out here may end up swapped with mins before this thing starts.
  19. Spanks45
    Southbury southern jack there, probably could toss the GFS run, not happening....The GFS has been quite stingy on the qpf on the western side (besides 30ish miles from the center) for quite a few runs. Either it is onto something or it doesn't have a clue yet
  20. Spanks45
    We are wounded from years of being in SWCT. If I wake up with 8 inches tomorrow instead of the slushy 3 that I am expecting, then the rug pull on Tuesday won't be soo bad.
  21. Spanks45
    Yup, we need a perfect track here...what is great for those in the east will suck here. I don't think this can be a region wide snowstorm.
  22. Spanks45
    Looks good! Sneaky cold this morning, got down to 19.8 here. Clouds are already rolling in too, hopefully keeps the temps on the lower end of the forecast today. Every degree helps in mid March. Biggest storm of the season here is 5.0", can we beat it?
  23. Spanks45
    This season! Pretty big red flag this morning, the temps. We need those rates overnight or it might be 35⁰ and slush that never adds up to much more than 2 inches. We shall see though, hoping to grab 3-5, should make for some pretty pictures in the morning with everything caked in snow
  24. Spanks45
    Yeah, not getting my hopes up. I'd prefer that big one to come in early February anyways. Will be a fun storm to track though, lots of heart breaks coming it seems.
  25. Spanks45
    We are close out here...let's just keep it there for a couple more days. See where our luck is Saturday morning. Maybe this is our storm? GFS with very little precip on the western side out here....
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