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Spanks45

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Everything posted by Spanks45

  1. Spanks45
    No power on this end of town...heard the transformer go, then saw the bright flashes....
  2. Spanks45
    Same here...power is now out and have saw the light from the transformer a few times as well. Strongest wind I can remember.
  3. Spanks45
    Not saying anything happens, but it's usually about the time everyone is told to close the shades that we end up having something pop up. Watch this end up cutting through Buffalo ...
  4. Spanks45
    Not being a weenie, but right about now would be the time that something does sneak up in the mid range while we are all writing the end of winter novels....
  5. Spanks45
    This whole mess is all the Tongan volcanos fault....of course any other eruption would cause short term cooling, this one would have to cause the exact opposite.
  6. Spanks45
    If the pig goes away, it will just shift into the west as a deep trough....rinse, repeat it seems. It all leads to warm/wet cold/dry for us. It might just stay warm/wet with that look..
  7. Spanks45
    With that look, we may have to close some shades until at least the middle of January. At least the heating bills won't be so bad during the coldest time of the year...Hoping the ensembles are wrong, but who knows. We couldn't snow in SNE with a good look, maybe we will get lucky in a not so good look?
  8. Spanks45
    Some mangled flakes last night, nothing on the ground this morning. Still 35 degrees out...
  9. Spanks45
    I hope so, I will gladly take 4-8 inches, followed by a mess, top it off with another 3-6 and then freeze it solid right before Christmas. Sounds like fun..
  10. Spanks45
    Model flopping continues...probably need to give it another 24 to 36 hrs to really get an idea of what direction this is headed...
  11. Spanks45
    GEFS have been showing it in that time frame too, but it seems to be transient...for now
  12. Spanks45
    Not sure they are right running this storm north of Chicago, but more so in just the idea of something west of the Apps. I do think, one of these models will have a good idea of Great lakes, Apps, or coastal by Sunday morning. After that will be fine tuning.....36 to 48 hrs of model flux until then
  13. Spanks45
    It's going to cut to Buffalo, 975ish....that wave out in front, hanging around the OBX is playing games too. I bet if it isn't there on the EURO, the storm cuts right up the Apps.
  14. Spanks45
    My memory of storms is very foggy, but living in the Mid Atlantic. There was a storm 2011, 2013ish. That the GFS sort of reminded me of down there. There was an initial storm that brought a few I ches of snow. Then a change over to rain and drizzle. Then by the evening there was a second, very strong system that moved it. I remember, thunder and lighting with sleet that eventually changed over to snow. I think there was an additional 6-12 inches by the next morning.
  15. Spanks45
    A 957 in upstate NY...I would assume at least some damage down here. It just seems like it makes sense to let our current storm develop and move out. Models are going to struggle, as they did with our current storm.. but there is a real worry that most have frozen dirt come Christmas morning...
  16. Spanks45
    That has Waterbury getting 5 inches, is that what it thought was going to happen or is that for later today/tonight? Even has some accumulations down towards the coast....
  17. Spanks45
    38⁰ atm. Besides a few mangled flakes before midnight, we never had a chance to see anything but rain from this one. GFS definitely failed, at least down here. Good luck up north!
  18. Spanks45
    Love being in the less than 30" hole there in CT....I am sure it will somehow verify. That GFS run gives me 2015 vibes
  19. Spanks45
    I have 4 kids that have been either screaming at each other or me today, it is just one of those days. Just need that GFS that has been steadfast for 48 hours to actually be right this time. Lol...please?!?!
  20. Spanks45
    That sounds about right....Rains here, then bombs out and snows EOR, now I am starting to sound like Ray. Biggest snow I have seen here since 2015 was 17 inches
  21. Spanks45
    Nam looks SE, pretty far possibly? Maybe not that far, but colder definitely....
  22. Spanks45
    It seems the further south/stronger than ocean storm moving through is, the better that High to the Northeast can build in before hand....
  23. Spanks45
    Raining right there in my valley...it knows
  24. Spanks45
    Not expecting much here at this point, definitely marginal situation along with warmer coastal waters is a no go along the coast and even here eventually. Need a deepening low with a NNE/NE wind direction. Most of our snow will be gone by then, so not much to wash away. Hope it sets up for a fun next week.
  25. Spanks45
    Well, here is hoping the GFS is correct....Almost all snow here, maybe 5-10"? I would assume during light precip we would flip to some drizzle or light rain....hoping for a bit more in dynamics and we could easily see more. Hopefully not a 33-35 degree rain event.
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