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Spanks45

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Everything posted by Spanks45

  1. Spanks45
    Well I guess CT just got NAM'd with that solution....hrrrr and Nam, great way to start of 12z
  2. Spanks45
    I like how it flips to snow in early hours of Tuesday morning. Get some accumulations before the sun comes up...maximize what ever potential this thing has.
  3. Spanks45
    Wow....sitting at hr 48, thing of beauty.
  4. Spanks45
    I know I can me a worrier, but I can see how we are screwed, multiple ways when this thing is all over. The red flags out here in SWCT are still flying high. After the bust the other night, needless to say I will go into this expecting slush regardless of what models show....Eastern areas that get the deepening low pressure are looking good. Here, inverted lobe heavy rains to banded snow/rain showers and 36⁰ degrees on Tuesday. Hope I am wrong....
  5. Spanks45
    So Nam 3k with a side of CMC....sounds good to me
  6. Spanks45
    Haven't seen it yet. But I would assume so....although that max qpf and snowfall area near us and westward continues to show up in guidance. It was still there on the GEFS, despite the awful OP
  7. Spanks45
    3-11-23 stamp of approval, hopefully we have to up those totals before game time
  8. Spanks45
    Stripe of 4-6" of qpf in that band...very NEMO like, wish I was up here to experience that one
  9. Spanks45
    Either we are completely ruined from this winter or we do actually know how this works in our area. But, almost every piece of guidance has 12-18 inches for us. The old me would be dancing in the streets. Yet here we are less than 90 hrs out, I don't believe a single one of them. I get it, clown maps are just those clowns, but I am realistically expecting some slush, maybe lucky with a couple inches. Even the new RGEM has 16 inches around here....
  10. Spanks45
    I like calling it realistic concern, some call it red flags. This season has had way too much of it. I agree that i have come off as a worrier this year, but most of those concerns have been valid this year. Hoping this one proves me wrong..... Sorry for your loss, definitely puts weather aside and makes you realize the important things in life. Hopefully you can get your blizzard to help take your mind off things, even for just a little bit.
  11. Spanks45
    Couple hundred feet made a huge difference here....view from my window at roughly 470ft versus 200ish here
  12. Spanks45
    Certainly, different beast for sure. We are going to need those rates and hopefully some nighttime snowfall to aid in maximizing snowfall accumulations.
  13. Spanks45
    If last night was a preview of what is coming early next week with regards to lack of cold air, then elevation will be key. Obviously intensity will aid in some of the cooling and i am sure everyone will see some flakes. Here, during heavier echos I dipped to 32.4⁰, lighter echos bounced me right back up to 33.5⁰. Classic March snowfall, unless of course there is cold air around.
  14. Spanks45
    Just looked outside....can still see grass in spots and can hear the water running through the rainspout. Temp 33.6⁰ with some light rain/snow mix. Maybe an inch? I can see snow on the trees,up on the hill.
  15. Spanks45
    Fingers crossed, at least we flipped it finally, even here in a valley. How are things out there? Has to be close
  16. Spanks45
    33.6⁰ and all snow here...coating on all grassy surfaces, now we need some heavy bands to show up
  17. Spanks45
    Sort of reminds me of the 18z Euro Control...
  18. Spanks45
    Definitely some parachutes mixed in now, temp continues to drop slow and steady 37.0⁰, 0.15" of rain so far
  19. Spanks45
    Any flakes mixing in yet?
  20. Spanks45
    0.09" in the bucket so far, still have some time, but the nowcast look of this seems like there won't be much other than some slush
  21. Spanks45
    The new Nam looks more realistic now. 3-5" in Litchfield County, 1-3 for most, south of there....
  22. Spanks45
    It's trying....temp keeps dropping as the heavier precip comes in, down to 38.7⁰ here at 200'. Still not expecting much, even when it changes over. On top of the hill at 800ish, different story
  23. Spanks45
    Pounding raindrops out there atm....40⁰/34⁰ Not sure what to expect at this point
  24. Spanks45
    Roasting @ 47°/30°, elevation 200'....going to expect a slushy inch or 2 tomorrow morning. Up on the hill, probably 5 or 6 inches
  25. Spanks45
    Even leaves some room for eastern ticks.....will be interesting to watch unfold at least, hopefully with us shoveling. Question is.....does this thing just keep pushing NW as we get closer and ends up slamming into the HV?
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