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Spanks45

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Everything posted by Spanks45

  1. Spanks45
    can we just go out with a bang and bring on spring? Seems like the NAO goes poof afterwards...
  2. Spanks45
    Down here in Monroe CT....looks like grauple the size of peas falling from the sky..impressive
  3. Spanks45
    So are we going to get 3 inches of sleet? Of course if the Euro is right. It won't much matter, but the sleet single is pretty strong around here at the moment.
  4. Spanks45
    Euro is not what it used to be, so at this point it is a wait and see how things shake out over the next 24 hrs....If all models look like the Euro at some point and hold the look, then maybe it is correct. But I have seen the Euro be wrong and sometimes way wrong more often recently. So I will take the GFS ensembles at this point and just hope they are right....Lol
  5. Spanks45
    This is where it will make a move that will leave us scratching our heads as to why it becomes the coldest/snowiest model....
  6. Spanks45
    Just going to post this....going back the last 4 runs, a noticeable push from the building confluence. Long range meso models unable to recognize this feature well?
  7. Spanks45
    It seems the system Thursday has been ticking south each run too. I would assume that plays a role for the next system....
  8. Spanks45
    Lol, look at that Fairfield county cutoff here in CT. Otherwise that is double digits for most of the state. Impressive if the GFS actually has a clue...
  9. Spanks45
    5" on 0.53"....I was hoping the Euro was close to its 0.85" run @18z last night...oh well Still a fun storm, beat the December storm of 2.7" here
  10. Spanks45
    So is it that deep trough coming into California at the same time causing this to run so far west? The block up in Greenland is quite impressive with a pinwheeling 50/50. One would think this wouldn't be able to gain so much latitude, so early on. Or is the block just too early to have any effect on this particular system?
  11. Spanks45
    984 mb low into SW Michigan is not going to bode well for most of SNE besides some frozen early on....who knows, maybe it doesn't have a clue at this point
  12. Spanks45
    CMC has a warm layer around 800 mb, around 12z Saturday.. .otherwise the column is pretty chilly even down here. Hopefully it is right, it bodes well for those to our north.
  13. Spanks45
    5.0" here in the NW portion of Southbury, CT @The 4 Seasons Temp above freezing now, so not expecting much more
  14. Spanks45
    Ha, yes they are...there is a warm layer around 800, sleet at the height...mostly snow for northern CT here it is like a few inches, sleet, then ends as some snow
  15. Spanks45
    Couple inches of snow, followed by a ton of sleet....main low makes it to Ohio, second develops south of long island....
  16. Spanks45
    The CMC seems to be pretty stable over the past couple of days, maybe it has the right idea. GFS is pretty similar...
  17. Spanks45
    Back edge from round 1 racing in here, spotty looking until the stuff from PA pushes in.
  18. Spanks45
    Legit heavy snow now, probably the first of the season...temp down to 31.5⁰ Probably pushing a half inch already
  19. Spanks45
    Flakes flying, already coating some surfaces...quite windy as well, 34.0⁰/23⁰
  20. Spanks45
    Ha, fair enough...I also agree, but the blues aren't as exciting as purples and pinks...Lol Snow has actually started flying here, quite windy too, wasn't expecting that. 34/23 atm
  21. Spanks45
    Anyone want to throw up a Euro snow map, just so we can bash it tomorrow if it ends up way too high, or hopefully too conservative!
  22. Spanks45
    impressive as it was impressive @12z....surprises coming with all of that convection out west?
  23. Spanks45
    4-8 followed by sleet, then some light rain...should help solidify a bit at least...something that doesn't all get washed away would be alright
  24. Spanks45
    Still drove a secondary under us in the end....it was close and wouldn't take much to keep us all frozen down here. Assuming the Euro has close to the right idea.
  25. Spanks45
    Good burst of frozen around here, but 980s into Ohio probably won't cut it for long for us in CT.
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