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StormfanaticInd

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Everything posted by StormfanaticInd

  1. This appears the year of the never ending heatwave out west
  2. Might need to bring the covid page back. Cases are rising again unfortunately
  3. Indy hinting at severe potential this weekend The weekend system looks to have better rainfall coverage and perhaps better shear for severe potential, but still a lot of variability in the solutions and thus low confidence in the specifics (beyond higher PoPs
  4. Been eyeing this since yesterday. Looks interesting
  5. If this pattern persist it could once again mean a cold fall
  6. Chance of storms everyday this week. My kind of pattern
  7. Line seems to be getting stronger coming into Indiana
  8. I really think so. Somebody is going to need a boat.
  9. This has the potential to be a very serious situation.
  10. Model guidance suggests that the low-level jet will strengthen considerably during the evening, with forecast soundings showing very favorable hodographs for supercells capable of very large hail, damaging winds, and a few tornadoes. Considered adding at 10% tornado threat area, but will defer to 20z update when eventual position of the boundary is better defined. Storms are expected to congeal into a bowing complex through the evening, affecting portions of north-central MO with the threat of rather widespread damaging winds and hail.
  11. I agree. Heavy rain events in our region are almost always modeled too far north
  12. From KIND Long Term...(Thursday night through Tuesday) Issued at 330 AM EDT Wed Jun 23 2021 Potential for serious to life threatening heavy rain and flash flooding this weekend into next week as deep moisture advects northward ahead of a warm front over the lower Mississippi Valley and central Plains and a cold front over the northern Plains. The warm front is expected to lift northeast across central Indiana Friday as the cold front approaches from the northwest. Meanwhile, a Canadian trough will dig southeast out of central Canada and result in southwest flow aloft over the Ohio Valley. The cold front will become aligned parallel to the upper flow as the front moves to just northwest of central Indiana this weekend. This will likely result in the front stalling out nearby with waves of low pressure moving along it. The persistent synoptic forcing will tap into the deep moisture, seen in precipitable water amounts greater than 2 inches, and instability and result in widespread thunderstorms starting Friday night. The alignment of the front with the upper flow will bring the threat for training and the potential for several inches of rain to fall over a widespread area this weekend into next week. The highest PoPs will start off over the northern Wabash Valley and gradually spread southeast over the weekend into next week. WPC is advertising over half a foot of storm total QPF over the Wabash Valley by next Tuesday with lesser but still impressive amounts over southeastern sections. With persistent warm advection, temperatures still look like they could make it to the lower 80s each day despite the extensive convection.
  13. Kinda hate that states are not reporting as much. Think its too soon to do that even though this pandemic is basically over
  14. The parameters right now are very favorable for severe weather already
  15. Definitely seeing less mask here in Indy
  16. Mcs season is very unpredictable. Have to keep that in mind and remind myself not to get too excited. Lol
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