TowsonWeather

2010 we had 30 inches followed by 14 inches in like 5 days. And that was following a 5-6-inch appetizer 48 hours earlier. Craziest week of weather in my life.

I'd trade a 3-foot blizzard for nothing. That's once in a lifetime stuff.

‘Twas the night before Bustmas, when all through the forum, Not a poster was stirring—there was short-lived decorum. The models were hung by the chimney with care, In hopes that Bob Chill himself soon would be there; The posters were nestled all snug in their beds, While visions of MECS and HECS danced in their heads; And mappy in her 'kerchief, and I in my cap, Had just settled down for a long winter's nap, When all ‘cross the site there arose such a clatter, I sprang from the bed to see what was the matter. Away to the laptop I flew like a flash, Tore open the cover and refreshed my cache. The light on the page of the brightly-lit screen, Gave new lustre to ravensrule’s posts (though obscene). When, what to my wondering eyes should appear, But a miniature sleigh, and eight tiny reindeer, With a little old poster, so wise and so still. I knew in a moment it must be St. Chill. More rapid than eagles his coursers they came, And he whistled, and shouted, and called them by name; "Now, Mattie! now, Tracker! now, Psuhoffman, On, Fozz! on Ji! on, Leesburg, and Ian. To the top of the page! The GFS has us buried! Now post away! post away! post away, merry! As dendrites that before the wild nor’wester fly, When they meet with an obstacle, mount to the sky, So up to the regional forum they flew, With a sleigh full of snow maps, and new EURO runs, too. And then, in a twinkling, I saw that he’d posted. With humor and insight (and blizzards he’d toasted). As I clicked on his name, and was turning around, Down the chimney Bob Chill himself came with a bound. He was dressed all in white, from his head to his foot, And his clothes were all tarnished with ashes and soot; A six pack of beers he had flung on his back, And he looked like a peddler just opening his pack. His eyes -- how they twinkled! his dimples how merry! His cheeks were like roses, his nose like a cherry! His droll little mouth was drawn up like a bow, And the beard of his chin was as white as the snow; The stump of a pipe he held tight in his teeth, And the smoke it encircled his head like a wreath; He had a broad face and a little round belly, That shook, when he laughed like a bowlful of jelly. He was chubby and plump, a right jolly old weenie, And I laughed when I saw him, and sipped my martini. A wink of his eye and a click of his mouse, Soon gave me to know there’d be snow at my house. He spoke not a word, but went straight to his task, Posting maps all in pink; and then turned with a gasp. And laying his finger aside of his nose, And giving a nod, up the chimney he rose; He sprang to his sleigh, to his team gave a whistle, And away they all flew like the down of a thistle. But I heard him exclaim, as I stood there awestruck: “HAPPY KUs TO ALL, AND OH YEAH: SHUT UP, CHUCK!”

Baltimore fringed. Meh. Next.

We #abscond.

I should clarify, I am technically just south of Towson - about 300 yards N of the city/county line.

In Towson we got about 4 inches - maybe 4.5. Just flurries now.

How is this obvious troll still posting?

Hasn't the mean been between 4-6 for the last 60+ hours? Or are my eyes failing me?

The NAM has - without question - performed the worst of any model for this entire threat. If one more person talks about how the NAM has "done it again," I'm gonna lose it - lol

Yes, I too grow increasingly concerned as the models get better and better for the whole region.

It's just you. It's just you.

Pumpled.

Around 5 inches or so here in Towson. Tough to be super precise with temps and compaction and no snowboard.

Mark Ellinwood is the best snow mapper on these boards, bar none. His maps are consistently the best and most realistic imo. Agree with you on DT - often way too high.

Some of the frustration/pessimism from many in this forum is that despite a great pattern, multiple threats, and multiple WSWs, many of us are in that boat. Here in Towson, which usually does pretty well in the snow department (for Central MD, at least), our best event was 4 droopy inches over 3 days...and we just went from a 4-7-inch WSW to a slushy half inch of nothing. Favored spots N and W always do better - and that's to be expected - but the dichotomy is starker than usual, and some suburban locations that usually do respectably have been underperforming so far - and that's after several years of almost nothing. We need a forum-wide overperformer for morale, if nothing else, so seeing the first signs of concern for this already unusual event is simply going to evoke that "here we go again" feeling for a lotttt of folks.

People clearly took this to heart...

1. Agree. 2. Caveat: if you start wringing your hands and angsting about suppression again I'm gonna cut you.

At this point you HAVE to be just trolling... That's the more generous of the two explanations, anyway.

Far be it from me to EVER dismiss the Euro - but Imma go right ahead and dismiss the NAM (esp after 48 hours). I'm not sure it's much of a conundrum when all other guidance is in one camp and the Euro was nudging in that direction. Not to say that this can't get away from us still, just saying that, as I know you know, when it's "just you and the NAM," it's really just you - hehe.

One more shift like this one and half the subforum would be looking at a dramatically scaled down event...a few inches of WAA snow and then snizzle. AS DEPICTED it's still great. But yes, when 50 miles makes the difference between 2-3 inches and 15, that's nailbiter.

Yes we are. Shift this whole thing 75 miles S/SE and we all win. As it is, as depicted anyway, it's a nailbiter for many in this forum.

Exactly this.

First, it's more like 4-8. Second, the warmer air and rain would make the ground reality much lower. I think you'll find we can absoLUTEly complain about that if it ends up being right ;-)

This is a phenomenally stupid post. The big storm isn't "going away". You have to have a remarkable depth of ignorance about meteorology and modeling to think that the historic totals shown 5+ days out on one run of one model not verifying would be an example of a "failure" of modeling. Jesus.