TowsonWeather

If this were to happen verbatim, I might need to block this forum on my computer. I'll be the bitterest bitch that ever bitched, lol.

Funny story about that storm... I obviously don't remember because I was 3 years old. but my parents and I had just moved here from South Africa - and they were NOT ready for winter weather. There were drifts against the door and my dad had to dig them out with a baking sheet, lol. They were very much like "WTH have we gotten ourselves into?!"

We are all hoping to see this picture this weekend.

My sister just sent me a link to Jay’s Wintry Mix on Facebook asking me about the possible storm this weekend. I’m sort of speechless, tbh.

The GFS has heard us all making fun of it and now it’s just taunting us in an act of petty revenge.

Poor Randy stuck on the metro. How do we get him back on there for the Euro?

Thanks, no one else realized this so it’s a big deal you were here to dispense this unique and keen insight.

Imma put this on the record now. If I get 4 inches and the lower eastern shore gets 3.5 feet I will burn this place to the ground.

Yes, the fact that you have issues with what certain models gave your backyard on specific runs for one storm 100% justifies you saying that the EURO - widely recognized as the best weather forecasting model in the world due to many years of objective data - needs to "prove itself" and "regain credibility to be taken more seriously." This is high-quality logic and I have no notes.

All the folks saying "I'd rather this be east" and "we don't wanna be in the bullseye this far out" and "right where we want it" are very much off base here, imo. This is a very very different type of storm than the one we just had - it's not a huge storm banging into a cold airmass from the southwest. Synoptically, there is a pretty razor thin margin for this thing to amplify and go negative quickly enough to become the coastal crawling monster we want it to be. The whole trough is WAY too east for anything else to work. The blizzard scenario for us is already at the far western end of the envelope of realistic possibilities. There's no way this cuts or goes west of us, it's essentially meteorologically impossible for it to do so. We want every run to be crushing us - because there's a pretty thin line between a big storm for us and something OTS or a Hatteras/Cape Cod scraper or New England recurve bender, and every run that comes in on the wrong side of that line reduces the chances that something magic happens for us.

“I’d rather be in Omaha.” - L. Uccellini

How much for Kitty Hawk?

Seems to be the theme. I’m kind of encouraged that most models are at least showing the pieces back on the table.

Hey, if you think getting a p-type changeover right by a couple hours over another model is more important than being so bad you got literally every other part of the storm comically wrong - including the total precip off by a genuinely hilarious amount, then sure, dry hump that NAM all day. That is absolutely your prerogative. Doesn’t make any sense, really, but you can obviously think whatever you want. But if you try and gaslight others about how great the NAM was, you should probably continue to expect to get laughed at.

DC got literally 100% more precip than the 3K NAM said it would get in a run quite literally the day the storm started, lol It had us dry slotting and the main vector of precip well to our north throughout much of today. If anyone’s takeaway from this storm is that we should pay more attention to the NAM because the non-crappy models got the changeover to sleet wrong by 2-3 hours, well….lol

LOL wut?? The NAM was garbage with everything except for mid levels, which is really the only thing it’s useful for in winter storms.

Made 7 inches in Towson before the flip, and it's been pouring sleet basically ever since. I haven't bothered measuring the sleet, but I shoveled the driveway right before the flip and there's at least 2 inches of compacted sleet now back covering it. One thing I will say about this high volume of sleet - it can be misleading. The weight means it isn't piling up on deck railings and other typical spots we are used to eyeballing to get a sense of rough snow depth - but it IS piling up in some weird places. I have some snow/sleet "drifts" just off my back porch that are well over a foot deep. Higher than my tall boots - and ask me how I found THAT out.

Welp, looks like ORD in Chicago got 1-2 inches of snow based on reports from surrounding neighborhoods. Is it ok to laugh at Uccinelli now?

I'm down. If I'm not driving my kids for a pre-sleet sledding session, I'm free - haha.

Need y'all in DC to open your fridge doors or something. Keep that mix line away for a few more hours. HOLD THE LINE!

I left breakfast and went out in my sweats just for you ;-) 5.75" and stacking up fast. The < 6" 10-year snow drought is finally about to fall for MBY...what will I whine about now??

That 2.0 just north of Baltimore is wrong - at least not close to current. That dot is basically my house and we had 3+ OTG an hour and a half ago. Haven't measured since but it's piling up. Has to be at least 5" and pouring snow.

Watching the virga/radar hole that now occupies an apparently permanent snow-repelling rip in the space-time continuum in the skies above Baltimore and feeling sorry for myself. One day, perhaps far into the future, my children's children's children will be mind-typing "Ooh, Baltimore's really getting the goods early this storm!" into their virtual ether communicators, and the story of their ancestors and The Great Balmer Snow Drought will be a fuzzy and distant memory that has faded into legend. I envy those young snow lovers. I shall picture them laughing and frolicking and bounding through the drifts into their anti-grav plasma boots as I sob quietly into my pillow tonight until the unbearable pain finally, mercifully whisks me away to a blissful nothingness.