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TowsonWeather

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Everything posted by TowsonWeather

  1. You're 100% right that's been the trend. That's what we have to hope for, honestly. It's why I'm still pretty hopeful (and the fact that it's the Euro in our corner). But it's still disconcerting to see so many globals showing the way we typically fail in Miller Bs - and we'd definitely shouldn't ignore that if we want to be clear-eyed and objective about this.
  2. Ugh. Why do I get the feeling the Euro is gonna do that thing is does...where it caves to lesser models, but only when it shows us getting big snow first.
  3. 120 looks pretty solid...I should stop trying to parse the B&W maps, lol.
  4. hmmm...CMC seems closer to the GFS look (basing that just off the horrible B&W maps)
  5. Inching toward the Euro with each model run... This was yet another tick south.
  6. Ahhhh, you're from Richmond. That explains it. But yes, for sure, there are sound meteorological reasons why this storm, still 5+ days away, will "bump south" a couple times, right into your own backyard, then "lock it in." I can identify no flaws in your analysis.
  7. Based on...what exactly? The fact that virtually all other guidance has it north?
  8. I would trade the next 5 winters for multiple feet of snow.
  9. Yeah, if Central MD gets 15 inches while Central VA gets 3 feet, we riot.
  10. A Heather A is bigger than a Becky C, but not as memorable as Chuck D.
  11. In these last final moments before the rug gets pulled, I just want to say I love you all.
  12. "Barely even double digits" qualifies as a crush job this and any other year around here.
  13. Why are my odds of getting >1 inch the same as my odds of getting > 6 inches? lol
  14. While I don't necessarily think it's likely, if you don't think a R/S line can move 50-75 miles 3+ days before an event, you've been living in a bubble.
  15. Even with the sleet - this was my favorite storm of all time. Heavy snow all day from that STJ firehose before the coastal even got going.
  16. Wait wait...you're saying a 10-day + OP might not evolve as depicted? This changes everything. Did y'all know that?!? Man...this is blowing my mind right now. Thank GOD you were here to share this!
  17. Thanks for this. This is the kind of nuance that's super helpful for those like me that read these boards a ton but still have a fairly superficial understanding of how well different models handle those layers.
  18. At what point does it start to sink in that maybe it's not everyone else that has an issue...maybe (just maybe) it's you? Your knowledge and insight is clearly greatly appreciated. But your delivery veers between abrupt, condescending and dismissive in a way that seems almost calculated to annoy. Communicating and engaging with others is a critical skill to have on a public message board - especially when you have so much to offer in terms of expertise.
  19. Holding? Wasn't it 970 last advisory?
  20. I was joking. We all know there's virtually zero chance of things playing out as depicted. But it's fun to dream!
  21. I see no reason why 5-10 inches of cold powder and single digit temps in early November won't happen. I'm 100% in.
  22. Sleet here in Towson (and has been for awhile), so somewhere between me and you is where the line has set-up.
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