TowsonWeather

Just wanted to drop in from the Mid Atlantic forum to say congrats to all on these amazing totals and an epic storm. We got shafted yet again here in Baltimore (been a miserable decade for the North Central Maryland specifically), but I’m trying not to be TOO big of a bitter bitch about it. I’m super jealous of y’all, but I really am happy for fellow weenies that got to enjoy such a historic event.

"If I'm in town, lock it down. If I'm in Houston, it ain't producin'"

lol Baltimore

Fuck all in Towson. Enough to put a nice coating on stuff. One of the bigger fails in memory from a forecasting standpoint.

I'd rather be in in Houston, tbh.

Boo hoo.

Color me shocked that Baltimore is getting fucked yet again. A decade of misery continues.

I think all of us in Baltimore would not be surprised to see this kind of fuckery unfold.

The Euro has budged a TON. Honestly, what models have you been watching?? The GFS basically had this solution days ago - what it’s showing now is a slightly more eastern version of the same bomb cyclone it showed from several days ago. The Euro has been gradually continuing a shift of several hundred miles and a radically different synoptic evolution that it kept insisting on long after other models had started trending to the GFS. Any attempt to portray the last several days of model output otherwise is pure gaslighting. (And I’m not saying the GFS is “right” before the storm starts - I’m not endorsing its current output verbatim at all. I’m simply stating facts about which model has clearly been DRAMATICALLY more correct about this storm’s evolution throughout this forecast cycle. That answer isn’t dependent on snow maps or snow depth, but on what has already happened with the way this system has evolved.)

The GFS has ANNIHILATED the Euro for this storm. Let’s not be ridiculous and pretend that a 50-mile swing is somehow more meaningful than the fact that the GFS has been correct about the evolution of this storm long before the Euro stopped sending it to Bermuda and finally, grudgingly climbed aboard.

You guys both know better. This isn’t a Miller B - not in any meaningful way. Every storm that pops a coastal isn’t a Miller B.

Wow. Just wow. the Euro going hard in the other direction 35 hours out after trending to the GFS for the last day or two - and basically all other guidance doing the same - was not on my bingo card.

You're fired.

This was what he posted on his Facebook page one day ago...

That's the one my parents experienced like 2 weeks after moving here from South Africa in '79. No shovel. Dug out with a baking sheet and wondered wtf they'd gotten themselves into...

LOL... Wut?

For those west of the bay, I didn't love this run as much (and I say that without looking at any snow maps). But I'm not too mad. The same general idea. Gonna be a pretty tight margin between the truly epic CCB stuff and the sad peeps., wherever it ultimately ends up. The real saddies are gonna be the ones who miss the CCB and the Norlun if/when it materializes.

42h, the theme of shallower trough and more consolidated energy remains, but more energy rounding the back-side.

Yeah, I was on the fence at 30h, I'm in the "don't like this" camp now for 36h. Shallower trough, not quite as diggy.

At 30h, not quite as diggy out west, but the leading vort is slower, leading to more interaction between the vorts. Heights very slightly higher.

As subtle as they are, I would THINK they might bode well downstream? At least in theory. No point speculating, I guess, just too complex to say at this point. Could just as easily go sideways on us.