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vortex95

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KDCA
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    Male
  • Location:
    MD

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  1. vortex95
    I think 8/20 starts the "peak" of the ATLC season, and goes throug 9/10. ACE is only 16% S-T-D.
  2. vortex95
    I know "soaking" is subjective, but generally I think "1-2" widespread" is a good min criteria. Although definitions are fluid here b/c of the use of "STEIN!"
  3. vortex95
    If it was just a bit farther N! That quite impressive for 1013 mb sfc low.
  4. vortex95
  5. vortex95
    "Soaking rainfall?" Looks like the 7-10 split ern and cntrl sections of the region.
  6. vortex95
    "Bow to me faithfully!"
  7. vortex95
    You may want to check the 18z RRFS MPAS, you know. the one you can't whine about b/c you already said that the operational one only had a FV3 core.
  8. vortex95
    So based on what occurred. I think the 5% tor risk was realized and the 18z IAD RAOB told the story. Once again though, the bay and the Delmarva played a big role I think. There were several storms early on over the Delmarva, and maybe they laid down subtle boundaries and interacted w/ any bay breeze boundaries, so when the Colesville weak supercell arrived on the scene (you can trace it back to the DOV tor), it intensified quickly. Actually looking at the radar loop, there were two waves of storms over the Delmarva. First was around noon and then another close to 4pm. Looking at where they fired, it appears there was some kind of boundary N-S over cntrl DE. Also, there were several cells ahead of the main line that merged in, and cell mergers can lead to tornadogenesis. Radar loop attached.
  9. vortex95
    WCWGTH??? https://x.com/EODWX5/status/2090567005967393127 Dover DE spinner today. Classic "forward flank" tor. Happens sometimes w/ HPs. To see these you have to be right up in the notch.
  10. vortex95
    Looks like a classic "forward flank" tornado. You get these w/ HP supercell sometimes. You can see the tor is just ahead of the heavy pcpn area. I bet it got completely rain-wrapped shortly after this pix was taken.
  11. vortex95
    I don't know, warmer SSTs w/ time should lead to less marine "infection" for more SNE tstms!
  12. vortex95
    Wow, I am surprised it was that visible given the strong HP nature of the supercell there, but if you get real close right up in the inflow notch, you can spot HP tors, but it is often very risky. I wonder if anyone got video of the DOV tor. Same deal. "Almost" a "wedge!" I say that in jest b/c many like stating a tor is a wedge even when it isn't!
  13. vortex95
    Great video, but can Timmer please stop inventing hype words for wx -- "water trumpet?" I storm chased most years 1992-2016 and know many in the storm chase community, and I have never heard a tornado or waterspout put that way. Cheesy media hype nonsense. Put a different label on something common/mundane to "sell" it more. And really, mets and wx enthusiasts can figure out easy what "water trumpet" means, but the general public? Some will go, "is that a new wx phenomena!?" And such can work it way into mainstream media. I recall on WTOP they used "rain bomb" one time to describe a tstm heavy rain event, and I cringed.
  14. vortex95
    Don't say that around @weatherwiz! May I remind you, this is a New England forum, not a Weymouth one!
  15. vortex95
    Cyclic tornadic storm as well. Second one over the bay.
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