vortex95

Oh, I am not triggered at all. I know the main clowns on YouTube and other social media. Still, practice in calling them out w/ their methods can be a entertaining at times. Also, just sharing some critical thinking skills on "how to spot pseudoscience" and the like has value for ppl on the forum,

Again, it is about balance and handling skepticism in the proper way. It can get out of control very quickly, as you noted mentioning conspiracies. As for the media, scaring ppl into watching I find unethical and counterproductive in the end. That's what it is -- all about for profit. It wasn't always this way. And just b/c "that's the way it is" does not mean you just accept it and act like everything is ok and will be fine. So many being put into a semi-permanent state of fear or "flight or flee" mode is not healthy. I purposely over time has cut back (de-expose) myself to the MSM, b/c even if you are resilient, confident, and understand why things the way they are, the relentless negativity and hype is distracting and will test those even those w/ the strongest mettle. Being reminded constantly of all the problems/issues in the world, how is that good? And communicating this to others who may have trouble handling it all, that is a good thing b/c understanding it at least will help to assuage stress/anxiety.

Blame the wildfire smoke as to why BDL did not hit 103!

"Zygote?" LOL.

That's a good point, but the door swings both ways here. Repeating lies or gross exaggerations enough, people will start believing it. This results in the bandwagon fallacy (everyone is saying it, so it *must* be true!). Being skeptical is an invaluable tool. Not enough ppl IMHO use it, or more specifically, apply/handle it in the best (most balanced) way. So we often end up w/ the false dichotomy logical fallacy, believe everything or don't believe anything. Neither is good. How one presents data is paramount. Just posting random tidbits lacking detail or sources that more and more have AI-generated slop are rife these days and deserve to be called out. If one can recognize crap/nonsense/slop better, one will make better decisions and avoid being duped/scammed/brainwashed. There is one constant and fundamental issue that that makes the warming issue very enticing politically, socially, and economically. Touting the end of the world or civilization as we know it -- can you think of anything else more urgent and absolute than that to society? So riding that narrative sells easily and instills deep psychological fear in the population. In such a state, they can be molded/manipulated better. Claims the world is going to end due to AGW fits this category, and is why high skepticism and push back exists, b/c it is not so much about the science anymore, it is more about ideology/agenda/control. Having problems in general sense, real or imagined, unfortunately has been realized and abused in recent decades that there is enormous power and profit having such. Hence, where we are today. Nothing is scaled or put into proper context/perspective anymore. It's always "the worst ever" or "it was never like this before" or some variant.

Fuzzy anvils = bad sign for storm!

They largely do not/can not or ignore it. Why let something like that interfere w/ a particular narrative or ideology? And actually accounting for it is practically impossible. Sites move, land and water areas near and around sites change, and so does equipment type, and every location has its own unique changes over time. Given only about 2% of globally land is urbanized, and there is a distinct bias having GHCN stations near or in urban areas, well, it's not rocket science to see the problem here. Here's another thing that is not generally known or mentioned. Digital thermometers run warm. This is b/c they can record instantaneous temps well, unlike analog/glass thermometers of the past. Yes, ASOS is designed to take an avg of the temp for the last 5 min, but this is not standardized w/ all sensors/sites globally. And some agencies will take instantaneous temp spikes from artificial heat sources, and call that a max temp for a day or a record if applicable, even when it is obvious something is off. Or just use a site's 1-min temp data in calculations for mean temps. This falls along the lines of "how to lie w/ statistics." There are many, many way to crunch and manipulate data, let alone pick and chose data sources, that validate this statement.

The running joke back in the day was if you want hot, look at the bank thermometer! Pre-Internet all you had was the wx radio and the local news, so *any* other thing you could find that gave you wx was big!

How about this? The temp sensor at Logan in the late 1970s was moved from near the NWS building area to the center of the runways. This is why you see many 100 F+ readings up to July 21, 1977 and then not another 100 F reading until July 14, 1995. The UHI increase took 18 years to build enough to push temps to 100 again in the runway area that is surrounded by water on 3 sides.

Classic vague tease. "Get ready" For what? Makes one click! And the arrow points to northern Mexico? And it is totally unclear what the color shading is depicting, but as long as it is bright and flashy, who cares!

And the media mode skews perception big time. It makes things appear a lot worse than they actually are. The relentless nature of it wears on ppl psychologically, to the point pp start believing it merely b/c it is repeated so many times. That's more in line of propaganda, rather that proof/fact. The most overused wx buzz word or phrase these days is "we're tracking!" Why wouldn't they be tracking? That's would be like saying, "we're forecasting! Superfluous and fluff language to make things sound more important than they actually are.

Earlier this decade for a significant period, EWR was clearly 2 F too warm. Every month, it would be +2 higher than all the other CLI sties in the OKX CWA. The issue go beyond just UHI and asphalt runways nearby. New constriction causes artificial heat issues as well. BWI has this issue, but only when the wind blows a certain direction. This is why one can't smooth out or "THREADEX" warm biases over time b/c each CLI location has different issues over time. Probably the worst sited CLI site, at least at an airport, is PHX. Right downtown and given the massive growth of the city in the last 70 years alone?

NW Pac is typically very active in strong El Nino years, and so far that is the case. Most standard parameters (NS, NSD, ACE, etc.) are running about 200% of avg season-to-date, and TY Bavi will add to ACE big time in the next week.

18z GFS has a 5" max right near DC ending 12z Tue. We sure need it! ECMWF likes PHL-NYC for the big QPF max. Either way, should be a solid 3 day active period Sat-Mon.

Yes it does. Look at the 390M+ ppl that live in the Middle East. Heat index gets over 140 routinely this time of year, and they do just fine overall. Have so for 1000s of years.