vortex95

For May 3rd this is excellent. Not often you have this kind of widespread svr wx in early May in SNE.

Betcha didn't think it would make it to ern MA for svr!

CoastalWx better retract his MEH attitude!

Damage in Hampton NH part deux soon! ARe BOX radar reflectivities running a bit hot? Either that or GYX is running cool.

This is pretty darn good for 5/3. Microburst Hampton NH earlier.

Ignore the fact we just had a great late season snowfall in SNE. Oh, but NIMBY, so who cares? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w_6bAt_HwnI

I'm sure CoastalWx will agree wholeheartedly!

Blue snow is a result of the high liquid water content. You typically only see that when you dig into the snow and there is more then a foot on the ground.

Sounds like a good job for CoastalWx! Odd that the HRRR just picked that one area repeatedly. Why didn't it do it for other mtn peaks that were even higher then Brace Mtn in the area? The 3 km NAM does this systematically all the time for all higher peaks, but HRRR singnaling out one mtn for multiple runs? Not sure I have seen that before.

Crazy mountain QPF/snow bulls-eyes are a big 3 km NAM issue, but not nearly as much for the HRRR.

23z HRRR was not a fluke. 00z HRRR even more aggressive. Looks like it is focused on Brace Mountain NY (elevation 2311 ft). It has a 3" QPF bulls-eye there, and wicked downslope screw zone for pcpn just to its W. Kuchera says 28.6". Why not? Low track and flow is right for great upslope flow this area. Of course, we may never get verification unless a true weenie goes up there to measure, but either way, some pretty amazing totals for April seems likely this area. EDIT: Going back several runs of the HRRR, and it is consistent w/ the Brace Mtn bulls-eye.

Not if the band is in the right place and pivots.

23z HRRR Kuchera shows almost 27" right at the intersection of the MA/CT/NY border. CoastalWx has to be impressed! Berkshires/Catskills special? Slide Mountain could do *really* well!

The title of this thread is "Please end it." Well, CoastalWx will still have to wait b/c no sign winter wants to end anything time. If the ECMWF a week from now is any sign, well perhaps a "late season surprise" may still happen!