vortex95

And you thought you have got ripped off in Meuthen? How about the 3 day total so far for Rockport MA? Also, Billerica! As @CoastalWx would say GWDLT! And would be saying if Weymouth was not near 7" "deeply occluded low banded precip SUXS!"

HFD had sustained 70 mph and CON gusted to 113 mph, at or above 1938. ALB G83 mph, NYC G94 mph, and EWR G108mph, well above 1938. Areal coverage of the high-end winds was significantly more in the NEUS and Mid-Atlantic than 1938, so I could easily see the biggest power outages on record when happening again.

Noted MQE up to 7.55". In the 1991 Perfect Storm, they had almost 6" for the highest in the region. What is @CoastalWx up to? Does his lawn thank him? Observer in Bridgewater just messaged me and he said he is up to 8.06" as of 10pm. Hello 10"!?

Li'l convection cells over Weymouth! Make sense given the occlusion and instability. HRRR shows 200-500 CAPE overnight in far ern MA and RI. As I tried to point out to @CoastalWx earlier, offshore SSTs are near climo peak and 2-4 C above avg! Not your typical Nor'easter SSTs! 00z HRRR gives another widespread 1-2" for much of region w/ a max of 3" near PVD and another 3" max wrn ME. Spot 10" seems likely in sern MA.

Feb 2010 was among the best, at least for NE MA, NH, swrn ME However, and @ineedsnow would pass out from ecstasy from this, look at Nov 1950. Truly exceptional for winds inland. What really stood out from the sustained winds well inland. Something like that today would rival power outages equivalent to a 1938 HU. The only thing mitigating it would be less leaves on the trees.

Dancin' in the sheets = pitching a tent! I'll let @dendrite take the next logical step for a reply here (re: FOOTLOOSE!).

Every time I see "Nolo," I think of this legal term! https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nolo_contendere

Warm process rain here. Noted SNE 1000-500 thickness 568 now and that's high for a nor'easter this strong. Also, a small amount of CAPE which enhances warm process rain.

Is the 6.47" report in New Bedford legit?

It about time you fess up and admit it is BIG, esp.for Sep. What was I saying for DAYZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ? The signal was there and climo anomaly alone spoke volumes, not just the the low, but with the high to the N!

Got it! Recall the G113 mph Oct 2021!?

WE +RA!

Worth it? You might think differently when you do not have power for a month!

The ACE value CSU found for 1933 comes from HURDAT2 reanalysis. They noted an increase in ACE from 213 (original HURDAT) to 259 (reanalyzed HURDAT2). See here: https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/bams/102/3/BAMS-D-19-0330.1.xml

Here is a short paper I cam across recently that was eye-opening to me. It shows that it goes beyond just absolute SST values and OHC depth for TC RI. Paper attached. Why Do Eastern North Pacific Hurricanes Intensify More and Faster than Their Western-Counterpart Typhoons with Less Ocean Energy? We show that eastern North Pacific hurricanes reach a given intensity 15% faster on average than western North Pacific typhoons despite having half the available ocean heat content. Eastern North Pacific hurricanes also intensify on average 16% more with a given ocean energy (i.e., air–sea enthalpy flux) than western North Pacific typhoons. As efficient intensifiers, eastern Pacific hurricanes remain small during their intensification period, tend to stay at lower latitudes, and are affected by relatively lower vertical wind shear, a colder troposphere, and a drier boundary layer. Despite a shallower warm upper-ocean layer in the eastern North Pacific, average hurricane-induced sea surface cooling there is only slightly larger than in the western North Pacific due to the opposing influences of stronger density stratification, smaller size, and related wave-interaction effects. In contrast, western North Pacific typhoons encounter a more favorable oceanic environment for development, but several factors cause typhoons to greatly increase their size during intensification, resulting in a slow and inefficient intensification process. The NW Pac has the most widespread high SSTs and high OHC than anywhere else on the globe, yet the ern Pac "beats" it in the TC RI dept! The takeaway I got from an overall perspective, you can't always treat atmospheric phenomena and the system as linear and intuitive. Complex systems do not work that way. Also, the more you learn, the more you realize there is a lot to learn! That is accurate, and a good thing. No matter how long you are in a field and well-versed, there is always more. bams-BAMS-D-21-0131.1.pdf