Jump to content

MN Transplant

Meteorologist
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    17,108

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by MN Transplant

  1. MN Transplant
    How about 82. Lol
  2. MN Transplant
    IAD to 43 mph with the outflow.
  3. MN Transplant
    98 BWI 96 DCA 94 IAD 94.8 my house
  4. MN Transplant
    Still a fight between the globals and mesos. The mesos think that there will be too much cloudiness around to approach 100. I’m siding with them.
  5. MN Transplant
    The globals are still printing out near 100 temps for Sunday, but the NAM Nest for consecutive runs has shown convective debris coming into the area at peak heating and keeping us much lower. Something to keep an eye on for those rooting for triple digits.
  6. MN Transplant
    Some of the HRRR runs from this morning were dead on with a cell along 66.
  7. MN Transplant
    Nothing even close to severe, but a quick half inch is welcome for the yard/gardens prior to this weekend’s heat.
  8. MN Transplant
    Come to papa
  9. MN Transplant
    Highs so far of 94 at DCA/BWI and 92 at IAD. Topped out at 93.6 here, but now down to 88 with overcast.
  10. MN Transplant
    I also think that the risk to overwarning Severe is less problematic than overwarning Tornadoes. Generally for severe you really want people to be inside. They are going to do that if they know a thunderstorm is coming. It is the tornado warning fatigue in other parts of the country that can really be a problem.
  11. MN Transplant
    91/73 at DCA on the ob. 92.4 at home.
  12. MN Transplant
    The replies by Matthew and Ian nail the issue dead-on - trees. We have a densely-treed metropolitan area in an area that (despite this board's complaints) has little wind. So, the trees are not "accustomed" to windy conditions and they fail regularly. Adding to that, much of the area was built in the post-war timeframe and the trees that are here are getting up in age and some of them are failing. Unless you are proposing to change the definition of severe to not include tree disruption, I don't think they can or should reduce the number of warnings.
  13. MN Transplant
    Predictably, the models other than the GFS have backed down on the 100 level, but the Euro is holding on to the idea that Monday torches too.
  14. MN Transplant
    The GFS is very likely being overly aggressive. Edit - as evidence, the GFS has Minneapolis going to 115 at the end of the run
  15. MN Transplant
    Go to garage sales in rich neighborhoods and stock up on stuff like tools.
  16. MN Transplant
    Record highs on Sunday are 101 (DCA/BWI) and 99 (IAD). All from 2010.
  17. MN Transplant
    ICON is on board for 100+. Ukie and CMC keep us in the mid-upper 90s. GFS ensembles per Ian's twitter also touch 100.
  18. MN Transplant
    The OP Euro and GFS want to go triple digits on Sunday, but they’ve both been terrible with big heat this summer. Probably best to use the ensembles which are more in the upper 90s range. It’ll be above normal in the hottest part of the year, which is always unpleasant.
  19. MN Transplant
    Trace
  20. MN Transplant
    #alwaysmaryland
  21. MN Transplant
    GFS/Euro now putting out some good heat within 6 days.
  22. MN Transplant
    #alwaysmaryland
  23. MN Transplant
    Southern Frederick County compared to NW DC over the past 45 days is nuts.
  24. MN Transplant
    Both the GFS and Euro have been occasionally trying to roll over the Plains heat to us in the longer term, and each time they’ve (correctly) backed off.
  25. MN Transplant
    I got 0.01", practically FFW territory.
×
×
  • Create New...