MN Transplant

Probably a pipe dream, but what a beaut of a sim radar on the 01z HRRR.

My bar is a sloppy inch and you are here talking about half a foot. I’m rooting for you.

Probably should be a flood watch up

0.16” precip after the switch. Inch or less given temps.

There is about 0.25” QPF after the changeover in the DC Beltway area per the 18z HRRR. Good news is that temps/Dp do drop to 34/33, so maybe 1-1.5” snow. Of course, this is the optimistic model.

Yup, matches my experience. Now, the surface could be wrong on the HRRR obviously, but I hate seeing the DPs so high.

Doesn’t matter at that point. White rain.

The 17z HRRR has it snowing at IAD with a temp/DP of 37/37.

Minneapolis averages 33” year to date. They are sitting on 7”.

That’s me. Syracuse and Louisville, and then drive into the path early in the morning.

How you gonna ban someone for posting a blank map?

The crocus house in our neighborhood is ready to bloom

You aren't kidding. Tonight Partly cloudy, with a low around 32. North wind 9 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Saturday Sunny, with a high near 47. North wind 7 to 9 mph. Saturday Night Clear, with a low around 30. North wind 3 to 6 mph. Sunday Sunny, with a high near 50. North wind 3 to 5 mph. Sunday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 31. Calm wind becoming north around 6 mph after midnight. Monday Sunny, with a high near 47. Monday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 29. Tuesday Sunny, with a high near 45. Tuesday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 28. Wednesday Sunny, with a high near 50. Wednesday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 32. Thursday Partly sunny, with a high near 55. Thursday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41. Friday Mostly cloudy, with a high near 58.

Was made official this week at AMS that NCAR’s MPAS will be the next dynamical core for the Rapid Refresh and Warn-on-Forecast systems. FV3 will continue for the GFS. The new HAFS (HWRF/HMON replacement) for tropical is performing well.

Snow cover on the GFS on February 7th via Windy. Woof.

Live by the Dan Campbell, die by the Dan Campbell

The Annual AMS is in Baltimore this year so I’m walking around downtown right now among sad Ravens fans. If I squint at the purple I get bad Vikings flashbacks.

1.51" which brings my total to 12.68" since Dec. 1st. The ground is a bog.

HRRR and 3km NAM are plenty wet tonight. 1.25”-2” over a good chunk of us.

Rodney, I wonder how many times the top two temperatures for a month have happened on the same date. We had that oddity yesterday with 1/26/50 previously being the high for the month.

And my wife flipped the AC on. I hope this is an unbeatable first AC day of the year.

This is insane

76.8 for my high. Amazing

71.0. 73 at DCA.

Morning low of 61.3 on Jan 26th. Sure.